FBGT - Fantasy Baseball Game Theory

This episode looks back on ADP results from 2025 and 2026 from the NFBC to look at how well we fared at each position, as well as beyond the first 200 picks.

(00:00) - Intro

(03:01) - Methodogy, Early Considerations

(07:27) - Hitting Positions

(26:44) - SP / RP

(34:32) - 200+ ADP Thoughts / Results

(44:08) - Sifting through your outputs / Gemini Notebook

(47:36) - Wrap up

@smms79 on twitter

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I was thrilled to have Ben Bingham (@BenBinghamMLB) on with me as the first official guest on FBGT.

Ben talks us through his brushes with greatness in the DC and OLAC overalls, as well as some takeaways from the playoffs, our teams in 2026, and early 2027 drafts - and much more!

This episode looks back on the category outlooks from January 2026, checking to see how our projections from the time lined up with the 2026 season results as a whole. We also look at year over year, league wide trends for each category.

(00:00) - Intro and Methodology

(06:18) - Saves

(12:20) - Wins and Ks

(24:55) - ERA and WHIP

(35:02) - Takeaways

(37:35) - Tool Time! Generating these outputs with Claude

(41:29) - Wrap up

@smms79 on twitter

Search “FBGT" on all major podcast platforms

Thanks for listening and supporting my work!

This episode loooks back on the category outlooks from January 2026, checking to see how our projections from the time lined up with the 2026 season results as a whole. We also look at year over year, league wide trends for each category.

(00:00)- Intro and Methodology

(06:00) - Home Runs

(14:00) - Runs and RBI

(24:36) - Steals

(30:45) - Average

(37:55) - Party Tricks and High Level Takeaways

(43:45) - Tool Time! Bubba and the Bloom ADP Tracker

(45:10) - Wrap up

@smms79 on twitter

Search “FBGT" on all major podcast platforms

Thanks for listening and supporting my work!

What are you taking away from your 2026 season while everything is still fresh in your mind?

This episode is all about taking advantage of this tiny window at the end of each season that can have a massive impact on your approach to 2027.

(00:55)- Intro

(04:07) - High Level 2026 Takeaways - Trends, approaches, and mindset

(13:57) - Applying the exercise to players

(19:30) - My own 2026 Results and takeaways

(27:20) - Tool Time! AI Exports of 2026 Data

(30:30) - Wrap up

@smms79 on twitterSearch “FBGT" on all major podcast platforms

This episode is all about hardening your own personal rankings, and then looking at the types of factors that would lead you to sway far enough from the consensus to plant your flag on a specific player.

(00:55) - Intro

(03:54) - What we ‘know' / Whats been established in 2026

(07:36) - The Awakening of the Industry & Real-time updates

(13:17) - Figuring out your guys & acting out the strategy to get them

(23:40) - Strategy Flags & bad dad jokes

(24:36) - Tool time - phantasea.io / @Stevoswervee

(27:23) - Candy - Matt Chapman (Yum) / Ceddanne Rafaela (Sour)

(29:43) - Wrap up

@smms79 on twitterSearch “FBGT" on all major podcast platforms

Looking at the main roto categories to see how much depth exists. What stats might you need where, and which are the hardest to find? The results were fascinating!

(00:00) - Intro

(02:14) - The Methodology

(04:09) - Hitting Categories

(10:59) - Pitching Categories

(19:49) - Caveats and Closing thoughts

(24:59) - TOOL TIME! Smartfantasybaseball.com projection aggregator

(27:26) - CANDY - Rockies Hitters with AVG, SB Floors

(29:41) - Wrap where I say iTunes again

@smms79 on twitter..

Fantasy Baseball Game Theory on Youtube

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This episode is all about embracing the pain, particularly on the pitching side of things. The fantasy baseball community seems to be taking on more pitcher risk than ever; will you join them? And with so many special considerations on the pitching side, which types of injuries will you be willing to take on?

(00:00) - Intro

(02:36) - Our Injury Mantra / Groundrules, and a shift in mindset

(05:34) - Buckets of risk - not all injuries are the same

(21:45) - How does your league set up for injury tolerance?

(26:26) - Tool Time! Making your NFBC SGP sheets work for your home league

(32:03) - Old People Candy (lemon drops? Yum) - Arenado, Josh Lowe

(35:11) - Wrap where I say iTunes

When does each IF position fall off a cliff, and what can you do to prepare yourself for the fall? Grab your parachutes for this episode of FBGT and dont look down (..unless you want chapters)

(00:00) - Introduction

(01:18) - The Jumping off Point

(03:56) - Catcher / CI Positional Tiers

(09:46) - MI Tiers / Quick OF/P Lines(

15:25) - Navigating these Cliffs during drafts big and small

(19:05) - TOOL TIME! Rotowire Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit / App

(23:30) - Candy (Gelati?) - Phillies / Crawford and Wheeler

(26:32) - Wrap up

twitter - smms79

What if I told you there was a 15 minute window before every draft you do that can shape the entire makeup of your roster? We are talking about KDS today..

(00:00) - Intro

(02:40) - Get to know KDS - Early thoughts

(07:58) - Establishing your personal baseline

(11:19) - Adapting this exercise for all league sizes

(13:48) - Builds based on KDS location

(25:20) - TOOL TIME! Bubba & The Bloom Draft Tools

(29:53) - Seattle Candy (Cal & Andre)

(33:10) - Wrap Up / What is to come

@smms79 on twitter

It's chaos season in fantasy baseball! With new projections releasing, new players joining the draft rooms, and players signing free agent deals left-right-and-center, how can you gain an edge in the NFBC draft room?

(00:00) - Introduction

(03:52) - Chaos Season! What does it all mean??

(08:25) - How to take advantage of the chaos

(11:20) - Keeping early projections in check

(13:25) - Putting your draft sheet into action

(17:35) - Slow drafts - no pressure

(20:30) - CANDY (JTR, Murakami)

(23:22) - Wrap up / Whats to come?