Milly Maker Maniac

This is the week, maniacs. Part 1 of the Week 8 game-by-game breaks down the five best shootout environments on the slate — headlined by an 87 shootout score in Dallas and Lamar Jackson’s return in Buffalo. We go game by game, find where the DFS points live, and set the war-room plan: attack the top environments through the QBs and let the smart-stacks build the combos.Stands: Zay Flowers (core), Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, Josh Allen, Lamar, D.J. Moore, Jakobi Lane, Trevor Lawrence, Bhayshul Tuten, Parker Washington, Jared Goff, low-owned Jahmyr Gibbs, Hockenson, Blake Corum, Detroit DST.
Fades: Jonathan Taylor (elite JAX run D), Derrick Henry, Puka at $8.6K, Kyren’s split, and the entire Chargers side.Tools, rankings, the optimizer & matchups → millymakermaniac.com. Become an OG Maniac: $50/yr for life, 2-week free trial. Discord: https://discord.gg/sa2VUAPpdJ

Week 5 main slate, game by game, lowest shootout score to highest — and we save the best for last. We're not here to grind cash. We're chasing the milly: guys who can 4x+ their salary and win you a tournament. Full war-room breakdown of the player pool, punt plays, and the smash spots.

🎯 The Build: Ceiling over everything. 60 guys in the pool today → we trim to ~35 Friday.

🏈 Guys I'm Attacking

QB: Jayden Daniels ($6.0K), Aaron Rodgers ($5.3K), Jared Goff, Brock Purdy, Sam Darnold, Jordan Love ($5.7K), Tyson Bagent ($4.7K)
RB: Jahmyr Gibbs, Jaylen Warren ($6.7K), Cam Skattebo ($6.0K), Chase Brown, Ollie Gordon ($5.3K), Emanuel Wilson ($5.3K), Jeremiyah Love ($6.1K), D'Andre Swift (if Monangai sits), CMC
WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Malik Nabers ($6.3K), Michael Wilson ($4.4K), DK Metcalf ($5.4K), Stefon Diggs ($5.5K), JSN, Luther Burden ($4.9K), Rome Odunze ($4.7K), Dante Pettis-type punts (Myers $3.5K, Tinsley $3.3K)
TE: Trey McBride, Sam LaPorta, Brock Bowers ($7.0K), George Kittle + the punt army → Chig Okonkwo ($3.3K), Greg Dulcich ($3.1K), Mike Gesicki ($4.1K), Kenyon Sadiq ($3.8K), Hunter Henry ($3.7K)
DST: Texans ($3.4K — best matchup of the week), Broncos ($3.2K), Jets ($2.7K), Chargers ($2.3K), Bears ($2.9K), Vikings ($3.1K)

🔥 Key Stands & Fades

🟢 Lions @ Cardinals = the game of the week. Shootout score 86 (next closest is 49). Two good offenses, two horrific defenses, both fast. Don't get cute — play the studs.
🟢 Jets DST vs Deshaun Watson: lowest ADOT in the league (6.09), 11 sacks in 4 games.
🟢 Texans DST vs Cam Ward: -.429 EPA/dropback under pressure, 11 throwaways.
🔴 Tyler Shough is a scam — league-high 45 att/game but 6.68 YPA; not cheap enough at $6.1K.
🔴 Chris Olave ($7.7K): great player, capped ceiling (22-22-22 in shootouts). Cash, not GPP.
🔴 Jeanty ($7.2K): 3.38 YPC, deeply negative rush EPA, zero 20+ runs. Getting Trent Richardson vibes.
🔴 Nico Collins / CJ Stroud: elite matchup, wrong game script — Houston sits on the lead.
⚠️ Watch the wires: Ja'Marr Chase & Tee Higgins likely OUT (CIN), Kyle Monangai thumb (CHI), Joe Alt questionable (LAC), McLaurin status (WAS), Rico Dowdle (PIT).

🔗 Links

Tools + player pool → https://millymakermaniac.com
Optimizer → https://millymakermaniac.com/optimizer/
Matchups → https://millymakermaniac.com/matchups/
Rankings → https://millymakermaniac.com/rankings/
Compare → https://millymakermaniac.com/compare/
Discord → https://discord.gg/sa2VUAPpdJ
🏆 OG Maniac offer: first 100 paid subs get full site access (optimizer + every tool) for $50/yr.

#NFLDFS #DraftKings #DFS #FantasyFootball #Week5 #MillyMakerManiac #DFSPicks

We're moving on from Week 3 (RIP the Geno Smith player pool 💀) — Week 4 is nothing but optimism. Full main-slate, game-by-game breakdown from the lowest shootout score to the highest, with the best picks, values, punts and fades at every price. This is how we build the player pool for the milly.

🎯 The plan: pricing is tightening — pay UP at tight end and defense, find your value at WR, RB and QB to unlock the studs.

🔥 3 favorite games to attack: Jaguars–Bengals · Broncos–49ers · Cardinals–Giants

💰 Top values & smashes

Parker Washington (JAX) $6,500 — CORE of the week (28% tgt share, 3.25 YPRR)
Malik Nabers (NYG) $6,000 — alpha usage, underpriced
Trey McBride (ARI) $6,500 & Brock Bowers (LV) $6,900 — elite TEs priced like mid WRs
George Kittle (SF) $5,100 — back to full-time, best TE value
Jacoby Brissett (ARI) $5,000 & Jameis Winston (NYG) $4,500 — cheap QBs in shootout spots
Garrett Wilson (NYJ) $6,800 & Luther Burden (CHI) $5,200 — smash
Jaylen Waddle (DEN) $6,200, Rashee Rice (KC) $6,400, George Pickens (DAL) $6,300
Punts: Brenton Strange (JAX) $3,200 · Pat Bryant (DEN) $4,200 · Tyquan Thornton (KC) $3,400 · Kalif Raymond (CHI) $3,600

🧩 Build-through QBs / stacks: Brissett, Winston, Burrow & Trevor Lawrence (JAX–CIN), Purdy + Bo Nix (DEN–SF), Mahomes + Kenneth Walker, Stafford & Hurts (low %)

🚫 Fades: Justin Jefferson ($7,300 — wrong game环境), Aaron Jones (playing hurt), JSN ($9,100), CeeDee Lamb ($7,800), Marvin Harrison Jr (7% tgt share), Dalton Schultz (Nico back), Brian Thomas Jr, Josh Allen ($7,700 + knee)

🔗 Links

Best Picks, Matchups & Optimizer → millymakermaniac.com
Join the war room (Discord) → https://discord.gg/sa2VUAPpdJ

#NFLDFS #DraftKings #FantasyFootball #Week4 #DFS #MillyMaker #DFSpicks #DFSlineups

The War Room is open. Week 3 player pool — the most important show of the week, where we cut down to who's ACTUALLY in the lineups and load 181 entries.

⭐ Cores: Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy, Kenneth Walker III, and the Smash of the Week — Dalton Schultz ($4,200) with Nico Collins out and 15-target upside.

Inside: a barbell WR build (studs + punts), paying up at RB, and where to bank salary at QB/TE. Big stands on Jonathan Taylor, Rashod Bateman (Zay out), Jaylen Warren (Dowdle out), Adonai Mitchell and Tyquan Thornton. Fades on Lamar Jackson (Zay out + Brazil field), Ja'Marr Chase, Chris Olave and Joe Burrow.

Watch the pool build and grab the tools at https://millymakermaniac.com. Join the Discord: https://discord.gg/sa2VUAPpdJ

Rep the logo, get to the top of the leaderboards. Good luck, Maniacs.

Chasing that $1,000,000 in the DraftKings Millionaire Maker, maniacs. This is the full Week 3 main-slate game-by-game breakdown — every game, every matchup, and the plays going into the war room this week. Individual matchup data, not unit averages: who's actually facing who, where the coverage holes are, and where the ceiling lives.

🎯 The build: Attack the top shootouts (Ravens–Cowboys #1 at a 76 shootout score, Chargers–Bills #2, Cardinals–49ers #3), pay up for RB studs, and hammer the loaded value at tight end.

🔥 Core smashes

• Dalton Schultz ($4,200) — elite vs the league's worst LB/S coverage (Colts). With or without Nico, he's a core play.
• Zay Flowers vs the Cowboys — might be the best WR play on the slate.
• JSN ($8,600) — 44% target share into a bad Washington secondary.

🏈 Favorite plays by position

• QB: Herbert, Josh Allen, Dak, Lamar (shootout leans) · Kyler Murray ($5,100) value
• RB: Jahmyr Gibbs, Christian McCaffrey, Jonathan Taylor ($7,600), James Cook, Chuba Hubbard, Breece Hall
• WR: Zay Flowers, JSN, Ladd McConkey ($5,900), Jalen Coker ($5,500, slot smash), Josh Downs ($5,700), Amon-Ra St. Brown, CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, Parker Washington ($6,000), Chris Olave, Mike Evans
• TE: Dalton Schultz, George Kittle ($4,800), Dalton Kincaid, Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Sam LaPorta, Devaughn Vele ($4,400)
• DST: Carolina, Cincinnati, Seattle, Minnesota

🔗 Stands & fades

• Stands: Coker over McMillan (slot matchup vs Makai Blackmon), Chase Brown's passing-game edge, Kittle's ceiling
• Fades: Marvin Harrison Jr. (5% target share), the Pittsburgh passing game, the Saints backfield committee, most of Patriots–Jaguars

⏱ Chapters (add your times)
Intro · CAR@CLE · CIN@PIT · HOU@IND · LAC@BUF · NE@JAX · NYJ@DET · SEA@WAS · TEN@NYG · ARI@SF · MIN@TB · LV@NO · BAL@DAL · Player pool Friday

🔗 Links
Rankings, tools & data → millymakermaniac.com
Matchups: millymakermaniac.com/matchups/ · Optimizer: millymakermaniac.com/optimizer/
Join the Discord war room → discord.gg/sa2VUAPpdJ

New player pool video drops Friday — the last guys I cut are the ones that win you the milly.

#DFS #DraftKings #MillionaireMaker #NFLDFS #FantasyFootball #MillyMaker #DFSStrategy

What's up, maniacs? Week 2 main slate recap — a small loss, but two lessons that'll make you money. (1) Bet against my Friday player-pool cuts: the last guys I dropped (Brock Purdy, Bryce Young, JSN, Rashod Bateman, the Panthers D) were the slate. (2) Get your QB right and the optimizer's correlation matrix hands you the exact stacks that beat the field.

📌 TWO TAKEAWAYS
• Fade my cuts — the last few guys out of my pool each week keep going off.
• Nail the QB, trust the smart stacks. When Dak nuked (29.8), we were 3x the field and DOUBLED the field on the Dak / CeeDee Lamb / Jake Ferguson stack.

🏆 THE LINEUPS THAT MATTERED
• Won the Milly ($1M, EliDCatz1): Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, JK Dobbins, JSN, CeeDee Lamb, Tre Tucker, Dalton Schultz, George Kittle, Patriots D — 232.
• Optimal: Dak, Rachaad White, TreVeyon Henderson, JSN, CeeDee Lamb, Tre Tucker, Dalton Schultz, Jake Ferguson, Panthers D.
• Our best: Dak, Derrick Henry, Bijan, CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, Stefon Diggs, Dalton Schultz, Jake Ferguson, Browns D — 183.

💰 BEST PLAYS BY POSITION
• QB: Dak Prescott — THE play, 3x the field.
• RB: ugly week. Jonah Coleman ($4,200 / 14.8 / 3.5x) and Rachaad White were the value nobody had; fine at CMC.
• WR: JSN was the miss that hurt — last WR out of my pool. Bateman + Tre Tucker also just outside.
• TE: our week — Dalton Schultz 9.1x, plus Ferguson and Kittle. Cheap-dart barbell paid.
• DST: our hole — zero of the hitting defenses. Panthers were my last D out. Brutal.

🧩 THE CORRELATION WIN
• Dak / CeeDee / Ferguson: field 0.72%, us 3 of 190 EXACT (7 with an extra piece).
• Game stack Dak / CeeDee / Ferguson + Stefon Diggs bring-back (110 from 4 guys): field 0.16%, us 2 of 190 — ~10x the field.
• We don't force contrarian — get the core + QB right and the unique combos come free.

🔭 BUYING & FADING FORWARD
Cooling on Malik Willis / Bobby Slowik's offense. Chargers panic meter is high. Buying Bucky Irving in spots, the Raiders (Tre Tucker), Darren Waller in the red zone, the Panthers passing game, and JSN every week.

⏱ CHAPTERS (add your times)
Intro & the loss • Lesson 1: fade my cuts • Lesson 2: QB + smart stacks • Correlation & game stacks • Week 1 proof • Milly winner, optimal & our best • Best plays by position • Game by game • Buys & fades • Wrap + Showdown tonight

🔗 TOOLS — millymakermaniac.com
Optimizer /optimizer/ · Best Picks /dfs-ceiling/ · Matchups /matchups/ · Weekly Recap /recap/ · Player Pool Recap /pool-recap/ · Founding Maniac offer /rep/
Discord: https://discord.gg/sa2VUAPpdJ

#NFLDFS #DraftKings #DFS #FantasyFootball #MillyMaker #DFSStrategy #NFLWeek2 #GPP #Showdown #MillyMakerManiac

Week 2 main slate, start to finish. I walk through the new Bankroll Builder and the fastest way to run the optimizer, then break down the Shootout Study behind Game Environment 101 — the research driving how we build this year.

🔬 THE STUDY
• Nukes are 4.3x likelier in shootouts; 49% of all nukes come from them (only 23% of games)
• QB nukes 28.7x likelier in a shootout — 84% of 35+ QB games came in one
• WR 4.1x • RB 3.8x • TE 2.8x • Vegas total is the #1 signal

🎯 THE BUILD: Tight ~30-40 man pool, few core plays, let the optimizer's 10-yr correlation data build ceiling. 9 optimal guys in a 30-pool + 150 lineups ≈ 12% at a Milly.

🏈 CORE PLAYS
QB: Jayden Daniels, Dak Prescott
RB: Bijan, McCaffrey, Breece Hall, Jeanty, Achane
WR: Chase, CeeDee, Pickens, Jefferson, Diggs, McLaurin, Higgins
TE: Loveland, McBride | DST: BAL, JAX, PHI

🧩 STACKS: Dak+CeeDee+Pickens • Daniels+McLaurin+Diggs • Caleb+Swift+Loveland+Burden • Jefferson+Wentz+Addison • Burrow+Chase+Higgins • Purdy+CMC+Kittle • Jeanty+Bowers

🔥 STANDS: Bijan matchup-proof even w/ Rush • buy the Chase/Higgins bounce-back • Loveland core again
❄️ FADES: Lamar (no pass catchers, tough for mobile QBs) • Drake London • Chargers outside McConkey • all of TEN

🔗 https://millymakermaniac.com — Bankroll Builder, Optimizer, Best Picks, Weekly Matchups, Game Environment 101. Free 2-week trial. OG Maniac: first 100 get $50/yr for life. Join the Discord once you're in.

We did NOT take down the Milly in Week 1 — and the autopsy is brutal. Our highest-owned
player, 62% Colston Loveland, put up a goose egg in a 52-point game. But we also nailed the
hardest position on the board. Full accountability, position by position, no spin.

🎯 THE READ
We crushed QB and WR (the hard ones) and blew RB (the easy one). The real leak: too many
core plays. Going forward the core tightens to a 20–40% ownership band, hard cap ~40% in
large-field GPPs — spread the pool, stop over-concentrating on one or two guys.

🏈 THE LINEUPS
• Optimal (292.1): Bryce Young, Derrick Henry, Jahmyr Gibbs, Jalen Coker, Christian Watson,
Chris Olave, Dallas Goedert, DeAndre Swift, Bengals DST
• Milly winner (274): Jordan Love, Jahmyr Gibbs, Derrick Henry, Christian Watson, DJ Moore,
Jalen Coker, Dallas Goedert, DeAndre Swift, Steelers DST
• My best (213.9): Bryce Young, Saquon Barkley, Ashton Jeanty, Jalen Coker, Zay Flowers,
Parker Washington, Colston Loveland, Christian Watson, Jaguars DST

🔥 WHERE WE WON
• QB: Bryce Young 6.8x at 15% vs 3% field (attack Chicago's D — thesis confirmed). Josh Allen
38.7, 5.5x. Three nuclear QBs on the slate.
• WR: Jalen Coker 36.8, 8x (14% vs 8%). Christian Watson 35.7, 6.1x (15% vs 4%). Vele 5.7x.
Caleb Douglas 4.8x — value found again.
• TE: Gesicki 18.8, 6.1x (Burrow stack). Goedert 23.7, 5.8x.
• DST: Bengals 6.7x, Steelers 5.5x — both nuked (18).

💀 WHERE WE LOST
• RB — the killer. Swift & Henry were the two best backs on the slate… both were in the pool
and got cut trying to concentrate. Jeanty saved it (25% vs 10%, 5.4x).
• 62% Colston Loveland → 0.0 in a 52-point game.
• Ja'Marr Chase waxed the 16% of our lineups that had him.

🧩 STACKS THAT MATTERED
Young + Coker (bring-back was… Loveland). Love + Watson. Lamar + Zay. Allen + DJ Moore +
Kincaid. Game stack of the week: Young / Coker / Swift out of CHI–CAR (272 DK points).

🔗 LINKS
Optimizer + Week 1 Recap + Player Pool Recap → https://millymakermaniac.com (DFS menu).
Free 14-day trial. New here? Come be a maniac.

#NFLDFS #DraftKings #MillionaireMaker #FantasyFootball #DFSStrategy #Week1Recap

Week 1 is here, maniacs — let's chase the milly. Full game-by-game DFS Millionaire Maker breakdown powered by the new tools at millymakermaniac.com: player-vs-player matchup grades, ceiling/4x%/nuke% projections, live inactive scraping, and the correlation-based optimizer. Free for the first two weeks of the season.

🎯 THE BUILD: Chase ceiling, attack soft Week 1 pricing, and build around guys who can NUKE — headlined by Miami/Vegas as my favorite game on the slate.

🏈 CORE PLAYS
QB: Burrow, Hurts, Willis, Goff
RB: Gibbs, Hampton, Jeanty, Bijan, Breece Hall
WR: Chase, Burden, ARSB, Jefferson, Flowers, Nico Collins, DeVonta Smith, Garrett Wilson
TE: Loveland, Mayer, Dulcich, Andrews
DST: Eagles, Jaguars, Steelers, Chargers

🧩 STACKS: Willis + Achane + cheap Dolphins pass-catchers (Bell/Dulcich/Douglas) w/ Jeanty & Mayer bring-backs • Burrow + Chase + Higgins ← Bucky • Lamar → Zay • Allen + Nico • Hurts + DeVonta ← McLaurin/Diggs/Okonkwo

🔥 STANDS: Bijan ($7,700), Willis + Achane, Jeanty + Mayer, Burden + Loveland, Breece + Garrett Wilson, Charlie Kolar ($2,500 punt).
❄️ FADES: Kyle Pitts, Browns pass game, split-backfield RBs, Derrick Henry.

🔗 millymakermaniac.com — free for 2 weeks. Become an OG Maniac + grab the DK avatar on the Rep page. Recap drops Monday. Good luck, maniacs.

The skill that actually wins Best Ball Mania: finding outliers on purpose. Building on the BBM-winner study, we break down what makes a good pick — a guy who gets you INTO the playoffs, or one with the ceiling to WIN a playoff week — and how to hunt "small miss, big hit" profiles instead of drafting off median projections.

Key ideas: ADP is just a price sheet (and it's wrong every year). Use Understanding ADP to know what each finish is worth — QB10 ≈ 299 Underdog points, and Trevor Lawrence (UD QB10) already cleared it at 338. The Josh Allen opportunity-cost case (why I'll be ~6%). Then position by position — where outliers actually live:
• QB: the 30%+ guys hit rounds 4–9; solid value 2–17
• RB: top-heavy (Jonathan Taylor 48.8%) but outliers into R17 — don't fall behind
• WR: big wins early, but solid value everywhere R1–18
• TE: one outlier ever (Kelce); most value comes late — mid TE then load R12–18

Next episode: my stands & fades. Everything's on the site.

Understanding ADP: https://millymakermaniac.com/adp-study/
OG Maniac ($50/yr for life): https://millymakermaniac.com/ogmaniac/

What actually wins Best Ball Mania? I reverse-engineered every BBM champion from Underdog's official pick-by-pick data and found the same fingerprints on almost every winner. Here are the 5 truths every champion shared — with the receipts.

1) An elite advance-rate anchor. Every champ had at least one 28%+ player — JSN 39.6% ('25), Ja'Marr Chase 50% / Burrow 39.6% ('24), CeeDee Lamb 34.6% / Mostert 42.6% ('23), Tyler Lockett exactly 28% ('22), Jonathan Taylor 43% ('21). Most came in the first four rounds — you have to hit early.

2) Mid-to-late-round value in bulk. Every team stacked value late — Kyren Williams 15 rounds of value in Round 18, Mostert 12 in Round 13, Chase Brown 6, Chris Olave paying off 2nd-round value from Round 6. Titles are built in the back half of the draft.

3) Zeros don't kill you. 4 of 5 champs carried 2+ players who never hit the lineup (Renfrow — a 7th-rounder!, Sony Michel, Ty Chandler, Adam Thielen). Only 2023 had zero zeros. Don't fear the contingent handcuff.

4) Regular-season duds become playoff heroes. Brock Purdy 12% reg-season advance → must-have in Weeks 16 & 17. Jonathan Taylor 11% → 36% Week 16. Amari Cooper 11% → dropped 46 in Week 16. Tom Brady 8%. The guys who limped through the year won the chip.

5) Teammate stacks in the playoffs. Across all 5 winners, only ONE playoff week lacked a 2+ teammate stack (2023 Wk16). The 2024 Bengals stack — 4 in Wk15, 2 in Wk16, 3 in Wk17 — carried the whole run. Stack 2–4, QB optional.

The big takeaway: hunt outliers in BOTH phases — a regular-season stud to get you in, plus low-owned playoff heroes to win the single-week shootouts. Small miss, big hit.

Full breakdown + every tool is on the site:
Road to the BBM Championship: https://millymakermaniac.com/road-to-bbm-championship/
Tournament Winners & Losers: https://millymakermaniac.com/best-picks/
Stacking Study: https://millymakermaniac.com/stacking/
Same-Team RB Duos: https://millymakermaniac.com/rb-duos/
OG Maniac (first 100 subs — lifetime, never more than $50/yr): https://millymakermaniac.com/ogmaniac/

Like, subscribe, and send this to your best ball bros. Go get a bag this season.

Ep. 11 — QB Rankings 16-20: Malik Willis Is My Biggest QB Stand of Best Ball 2026

Podcast Description

Part 4 of the Best Ball QB Rankings — closing out the top 20 with the sneaky-important QB3 tier. Four of these five guys have finished QB6 or higher in their career, and the fifth (Malik Willis) put up 32.5 DK points in his ONE 2025 start.

Biggest headline: Malik Willis is my #1 QB stand of the entire best ball season at 20% target exposure. He's the Justin Fields comp — if Justin Fields could actually throw. Miami's $45M-guaranteed contract says they believe he's their guy for the next 4-5 years, and the Dolphins' scrappy underdog script sets up perfectly for QB-friendly point totals.

Inside the episode:

• The best-ball-vs-redraft ranking philosophy — why I want exposure to guys I'd rank lower in a redraft
• Kyler Murray + Kevin O'Connell + Jefferson stack — the fresh-start motivator
• Bo Nix year-3 leap case — 12% target (up from 2%) with Waddle and Pat Bryant as core stacks
• Full Malik Willis deep-dive — advanced metrics from his lone start, contract analysis, injury-risk vs bench-risk debate
• Jordan Love's concentrated pass game — why Watson, Kraft, Reed, and Matthew Golden all bump up
• Baker Mayfield's bounce-back case + why Chris Godwin is my biggest WR fade of the year
• Playoff schedules for each — where the Week 15-17 shootouts live

Rankings tool, Boom Game History, Stats Hub, Player Compare, and Team Pages with playoff schedules all live at millymakermaniac.com. Previous QB Rankings episodes cover 1-5, 6-10, and 11-15.

Part 3 of the Best Ball QB Rankings. This tier is where builds get won: pocket passers you stack instead of draft naked, injury-upside plays, and one QB with a top-3 playoff schedule that nobody's paying enough for.

Inside the episode:

• Why Trevor Lawrence over Brock Purdy at QB11 — cleaner health profile + top-3 playoff schedule
• Bhayshul Tuten as the single biggest Jaguar stand of my portfolio
• Purdy's 93rd%ile success rate + 96th%ile TD rate — and why the 49ers-stay-healthy outcome is only 10-15% likely
• The Matthew Stafford rule: Puka teams only, never naked — why last year was the ceiling
• Jaxson Dart at QB14 as a legit Week 16-17 game-stack piece (@DET / @DAL)
• Theo Johnson as a 20th-round Dart stacking dart-throw
• Jared Goff as the best pocket-passer stack in fantasy — the 15-20% 40-TD outcome case + the Gibbs/Amon-Ra/LaPorta stack tree
• Why you almost never draft Goff naked

Rankings tool, Boom Game History, Stats Hub, Player Compare, and Team Pages with playoff schedules all live at millymakermaniac.com. QB Ranks 1-5 and 6-10 already up in the earlier rankings episodes.

Next episode wraps the QB series: QBs 16-20 (late-round upside tier).

Part 2 of the Best Ball QB Rankings — QBs 6 through 10 for 2026. This is the tier where the season gets won: any of these five can hit 40+ TDs and bring a full stack of pass-catchers with them. Target exposure numbers, stacking partners, and playoff-schedule math for each.

Big headline: Justin Herbert is my single biggest above-market stand of the offseason. 25-30% target exposure, walking into a Mike McDaniel offense with Alt and Slater back healthy and a completely rebuilt interior OL. He's already had a 5,000-yard, 38-TD season with worse weapons — I think the MVP outcome is 30-35% likely.

Inside the episode:

• Why Dak Prescott is a DK preference (300-yard bonuses) but Underdog fade
• The Lamb + Pickens ping-pong stack construction
• Jalen Hurts bounce-back case (Sean Mannion + tush push rushing TDs returning)
• Patrick Mahomes' 42% career boom rate — the highest of any QB in NFL history — makes him a 20% target even coming off ACL
• Why Caleb Williams is the ONE fade of the top 12 — Ben Johnson won't let him cook
• Full playoff-schedule walkthrough on every QB (weather, dome, defensive matchups)
• Late-round stacking darts: Tyquan Thornton, Charlie Kolar, Jayden Blue, Trey Harris

Rankings tool, Boom Game History, Stats Hub, Player Compare, and Team Pages with playoff schedules all live at millymakermaniac.com.

Episode 9 drops next: QBs 11-15.

First rankings episode of the season — my top 5 quarterbacks for Best Ball 2026 and the exposure, stacking, and playoff-schedule framework that goes with each. I'm above market on all five, which is a stand, so I walk through the reasoning tier by tier.

Inside the episode:

• Why Josh Allen at QB1 is worth an 8% exposure target even at the brutal ADP — Joe Brady's promotion, defensive regression, and the new-stadium narrative
• The Lamar bounce-back case: 30%+ career boom rate, Declan Doyle unlocking the offense, and why Lamar + Zay is the highest-advance-rate double-stack of the season
• Joe Burrow as my 15-20% target QB — 50-touchdown outcomes, 2nd-best playoff schedule, and the Bengals quad-stack build
• Jayden Daniels year-3 leap — the new OC, motion, McLaurin targets, and the JAX Week 17 game stack
• Drake Maye as solid-but-not-elite QB5 — how the schedule flip and playoff slate cap his ceiling
• How to make sure you leave every draft with at least one top-12 QB
• Why I'm above market on nearly every QB in the top 12 (Caleb Williams is the exception — covered next episode)

Rankings tool, Boom Game History, Player Compare, and Team Pages with playoff schedules all live at millymakermaniac.com.

Episode 12 drops next: QBs 6-10.

Another $2M Best Ball Mania draft on Underdog, this time out of the 9 spot. I'm going Hero RB around De'Von Achane (above market — 34% boom rate is too loud to ignore), stacking a wide receiver room four deep with CeeDee Lamb, Zay Flowers, Ladd McConkey, and Christian Watson, and then pivoting hard into a full Miami game stack with Malik Willis, Greg Dulcich, and Malik Washington when my Dak and Herbert stacks both got sniped.

Inside the episode:

• Why Achane belongs above Saquon, Kenneth Walker, and Chase Brown
• The Jonathan Brooks stand at 105 and why I'm higher than the room
• How I ended up on naked Mahomes — and why I'm fine with it
• The Malik Willis case: tape, athleticism, accuracy, and a Miami offense people are sleeping on
• Tyler Warren as a top-12 TE absorbing vacated Pittman targets
• Late-round RB logic: Woody Marks, Zach Charbonnet, Sean Tucker
• Fading Saquon and Derrick Henry one more time

Full roster, full reasoning, full board reactions. Rankings, team pages, and the Player Compare tool live at millymakermaniac.com.

Taking another shot at $3 million on the DraftKings NFL Best Ball $20M Millionaire — drafting out of the 11 spot and building one of the heaviest stack-driven teams I've done this season. Ashton Jeanty and De'Von Achane anchor the running back room (both above-market stands I walk through in detail), Justin Herbert leads a five-deep Chargers stack with McConkey / Trey Harris / Gadsden / Njoku, a Patrick Mahomes + Xavier Worthy mini-stack rides the Week 17 game against the Chargers, and we close it out with a full Browns stack: Shedeur Sanders, Quinshon Judkins, Cassey Concepcion, and Denzel Boston.

Inside the episode:

• The full Player Compare walk-through on Achane vs. Saquon, Walker, Chase Brown, and Hampton — and why boom rate, EPA per touch, and yards created per carry make him the easy pick
• Why Jeanty as RB12 last year behind a broken Raiders OL is the buy — Kubiak, the new center, and Colt Miller returning
• Tyler Warren as a top-12 TE 40 picks behind Brock Bowers
• The case for a Browns offense scoring 21+ points in real games — and why Shedeur winning QB1 unlocks the whole stack
• Stacking philosophy when your two best QBs face each other in Week 17
• Late-round dart throws: Sean Tucker, Tez Johnson, Chris Brazzell

The full DraftKings $20M Millionaire structure walk-through is in here too — round-by-round payouts, advancement rules, and why this format rewards top-heavy stacks. Rankings, team pages, and tools at millymakermaniac.com.

First DraftKings $20M Best Ball Millionaire draft where I finally took Christian McCaffrey. From pick 7, went HERO RB — McCaffrey + Bowers start, built around Brock Purdy and Jayden Daniels with double stacks on both sides. Full walkthrough of every pick, every stand, every "this team is the most injury-prone roster ever assembled" moment.

$25 entry. $3M for 1st, $2M for 2nd, $1M for 3rd.

Become a Maniac: https://millymakermaniac.com
Discord: https://discord.gg/NGGM2EA9

THE TEAM
QB: Jayden Daniels, Brock Purdy
RB: Christian McCaffrey, Jaylen Warren, JK Dobbins, Chris Rodriguez, Jonah Coleman, Tank Bigsby
WR: Zay Flowers, Terry McLaurin, Christian Watson, Ricky Pearsall, Travis Hunter, Demetrius Stribling, Dontayvion Wicks, Troy Franklin, Jakobi Lane
TE: Brock Bowers, Chig Okonkwo, Greg Dulcich

WHY I FINALLY TOOK McCAFFREY
After fading him all season, the boom rate research changed my mind. CMC has a 61.5% career DK boom rate — 22+ points in 6 of every 10 games. Last year: 12 boom games, 15 usable weeks. His receiving role on DraftKings full-PPR keeps him bankable even if the rushing efficiency slips. Building 2-4% of the field as a hedge.

MY BIGGEST STANDS
- McCaffrey at 1.07 — first share of the season
- Bowers at 2.18 — Kubiak target hog
- Jayden Daniels + McLaurin + Chig triple stack
- Purdy + McCaffrey + Pearsall 49ers stack
- Travis Hunter at 13.151 — won't just play corner
- Jonah Coleman as the Dobbins handcuff
- Tank Bigsby for Week 17 vs SF

MY BIGGEST FADES
- Saquon Barkley — age + workload + worse OL = bust candidate
- Derrick Henry — film shows lost a step

STACKS
- 49ers — Purdy + CMC + Pearsall + Stribling
- Commanders — Daniels + McLaurin + Chig
- Week 17 correlation — Bigsby, Wicks, Hunter all face the stacks

CHAPTERS
(00:00) Welcome, Maniacs
(01:30) Why I changed my CMC stance
(03:00) Pick 1.07 — Christian McCaffrey
(05:30) Pick 2.18 — Brock Bowers
(08:00) Pick 3.31 — Zay Flowers
(10:30) Pick 4.42 — Terry McLaurin
(13:00) Evans + Lamar both sniped
(17:00) Pick 6.66 — Jayden Daniels
(19:30) Pick 7 — Jaylen Warren
(22:00) Pick 8 — Brock Purdy
(24:30) Jonathan Brooks sniped again
(26:00) Pick 9 — Ricky Pearsall
(28:30) Pick 10 — JK Dobbins
(31:00) Pick 11 — Chris Rodriguez
(33:30) Pick 12 — Chig Okonkwo
(35:30) Pick 13 — Travis Hunter
(37:30) Pick 14 — Jonah Coleman
(40:00) Pick 15 — Demetrius Stribling
(42:00) Pick 16 — Tank Bigsby
(43:30) Pick 17 — Greg Dulcich
(45:00) Pick 18 — Brandon Aiyuk fade
(47:00) Pick 19 — Dontayvion Wicks
(48:30) Pick 20-21 — Franklin + Lane
(50:30) Final team breakdown

— Zac, the Milly Maker Maniac

First recorded Underdog Best Ball Mania draft of the year. From pick 7, went ZERO RB — Amon-Ra St. Brown, Brock Bowers, Zay Flowers, Lamar Jackson stack. Then got sniped on Jonathan Brooks by ONE pick and had to scramble the whole RB room. Full walkthrough of every decision, every stand, every panic pivot.

Become a Maniac: https://millymakermaniac.com
Discord: https://discord.gg/NGGM2EA9

THE TEAM
QB: Lamar Jackson, Bryce Young
RB: Rhamondre Stevenson, Aaron Jones, Jordan Mason, Keaton Mitchell, Jonah Coleman, Kyle Monangai, Emmitt Johnson
WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Zay Flowers, Luther Burden, Carnell Tate, Ricky Pearsall, Elijah Surratt
TE: Brock Bowers, Gunner Helm, Greg Dulcich

MY BIGGEST STANDS
- Amon-Ra St. Brown at 1.07 — safest WR1 on the board
- Brock Bowers at 2.02 — JSN of Kubiak's offense
- Lamar + Zay + Surratt triple stack
- Fading CMC, Saquon, Henry — age cliff is real
- Buying the Vikings backfield (Aaron Jones + Jordan Mason)
- Keaton Mitchell as a zero-RB value bet

STACKS
- Lions — Amon-Ra
- Bears Week 17 — Burden + Monangai
- Ravens — Lamar + Zay + Surratt
- Vikings backfield buy
- Titans — Tate + Helm

CHAPTERS
(00:00) Welcome, Maniacs
(00:30) Why I don't love the pick 7 slot
(02:00) Pick 1.07 — Amon-Ra St. Brown
(04:30) Pick 2.18 — Brock Bowers
(07:00) Pick 3.31 — Zay Flowers
(09:30) Pick 4.42 — Luther Burden
(12:00) Pick 5.55 — Lamar Jackson
(14:00) Pick 6.66 — Carnell Tate
(17:00) Pick 7.79 — Rhamondre Stevenson
(20:00) Jonathan Brooks gets sniped
(22:30) Pick 8.90 — Ricky Pearsall pivot
(25:00) Buying the Vikings backfield
(28:00) Pick 11 — Keaton Mitchell
(30:30) Pick 12 — Jonah Coleman
(32:30) Mendoza dream dies, Bryce Young pivot
(35:00) Pick 15-16 — Gunner Helm + Greg Dulcich
(37:30) Pick 17 — Emmitt Johnson
(39:00) Final pick: Elijah Surratt
(40:30) Final team breakdown

— Zac, the Milly Maker Maniac

First recorded Best Ball draft of the year. Zero RB build — 5 wide receivers in the first 6 rounds, including Brock Bowers in Round 2.

Walking through every pick, every stand, every fade. Why I'm fading CMC, Saquon, and Henry. Why I'm force-drafting Jonathan Brooks 40 spots above ADP. Why Jalen Warren is one of the biggest values in the middle rounds. Why JSN over Puka. The Sam Darnold + JSN stack. Plus a full tour of the new tools on millymakermaniac.com.

Drafted in the DraftKings Best Ball $20M Millionaire from the 5 spot.

Join the Maniacs: https://millymakermaniac.com
Discord: https://discord.gg/NGGM2EA9

THE FINAL TEAM
WR: JSN, Zay Flowers, Tee Higgins, Jalen Waddle, Parker Washington, Jeremy Bernard
TE: Brock Bowers, Greg Dulcich, Terrence Ferguson
RB: Rhamondre Stevenson, Jaylen Warren, Jonathan Brooks, JK Dobbins, Emmett Johnson, Chris Brazell, Jayden Blue
QB: Sam Darnold, Bryce Young, Aaron Rodgers, Fernando Mendoza

MY BIGGEST STANDS
- Fading CMC, Saquon, Henry — the age cliff is real
- Jonathan Brooks at RB30 is the biggest value on the board
- JSN over Puka
- Brock Bowers at 2.01
- Jaylen Warren over Rico Dowdle

CHAPTERS
(00:00) Welcome, Maniacs
(01:00) Downloading my rankings from the site
(03:30) Pick 1.05 — JSN over Puka
(06:00) Pick 2.20 — Brock Bowers
(09:00) Fading the old RBs
(12:00) Pick 3.29 — Zay Flowers
(14:30) Pick 4.44 — Tee Higgins
(17:00) Pick 5.53 — Jalen Waddle
(20:00) Pick 6.68 — Parker Washington (Zero RB committed)
(22:00) Pick 7.77 — Rhamondre Stevenson
(25:00) Pick 8.84 — Jaylen Warren
(28:00) Pick 9.92 — Jonathan Brooks (40 spots above ADP)
(32:00) Pick 10.101 — JK Dobbins
(35:00) Pick 11.116 — Sam Darnold + JSN stack
(37:30) Building the QB room (Young, Rodgers, Mendoza)
(42:00) Late round dart throws
(50:00) Final team breakdown
(55:00) Tour of the site tools
(58:00) Closing thoughts

— Zac, the Milly Maker Maniac