Podcast

Tom Nelson

Natural Sciences, Science

Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

Episodes
444
Releases
Twice a week
Typical length
1 hr 7 min
On air since
2022
Latest episode
14 hours ago

Episodes

444 episodes, newest first

  1. Ronan Connolly/Gerry Quinn: “Assessing the Safety of the Modified mRNA Vaccine” #442

    Show notes

    Ronan Connolly and Gerry Quinn discuss their new peer-reviewed Journal of Toxicology paper assessing safety concerns around modified mRNA COVID vaccines. They criticize shifting claims about vaccine efficacy, difficulties publishing dissenting views, and argue the technology differs from traditional vaccines because it delivers genetic instructions via lipid nanoparticles with broad body distribution. They discuss potential issues including dosing and duration of spike protein production, microvesicle transport, pseudouridine-related frame shifting and protein misfolding, manufacturing differences between trials and mass rollout, and possible DNA contamination. They also review clinical trial criticisms, seasonality findings, and argue observational claims of lives saved rely on models and confounding.

    00:00 Guests and COVID Paper Recap

    01:32 New mRNA Vaccine Focus

    03:22 New Toxicology Paper and Caveats

    08:50 Why Discussing Harms Was Taboo

    10:28 Old Vaccines vs Gene Tech

    15:27 Testing Gaps and Gene Therapy Roots

    23:42 Where It Goes and How Long It Lasts

    28:27 Manufacturing Differences and Contamination

    36:13 Nobel Prize and Pseudouridine

    41:15 How Modified Bases Can Misread

    42:13 Frameshift Proteins Found

    43:08 Codons Explained Simply

    44:57 Reductionism Meets Epigenetics

    47:30 Codon Optimization Changes Folding

    51:37 Why Spike Protein Matters

    56:14 Long COVID vs Long Vax

    58:40 Trial Efficacy Math

    01:02:02 Whistleblowers and Unblinding

    01:07:26 Seasonality and Lockdowns

    01:11:10 Lives Saved Model Critique

    01:15:26 Observational Study Confounding

    01:18:37 Adverse Events and Gatekeeping

    01:23:26 Final Takeaways and Resources

    Ronan’s X: https://x.com/1RonanConnolly

    Gerry’s X: https://x.com/jercuinn

    “Scientists uncover major safety concerns over mRNA vaccine technology”: https://www.ceres-science.com/post/scientists-uncover-major-safety-concerns-over-mrna-vaccine-technology

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1 hr 31 min
  2. Anika Sweetland: “A Load of Bollocks?: The Trillion Dollar Climate Scare” #441

    Show notes

    Anika Sweetland describes becoming fearful of climate change after a school assignment, obsessively following catastrophic headlines, studying climate science, and suffering severe health issues she links to eco-anxiety. During lockdown and after observing net zero’s economic impacts in England, she began questioning claims, researching data on topics like sea levels, crop yields, and past cooling vs warming scares, and concluded she had been “brainwashed.” She discusses media ethics, impacts on children, and argues climate fears enable centralized control. Sweetland and host Tom discuss her new book, its humor, an upcoming Audible version, and support from physicist Will Happer, who wrote the foreword.

    00:00 Doomsday Headlines Hook

    00:57 Lockdown Rabbit Hole

    01:36 Questioning The Narrative

    01:56 Meet The Author

    04:11 All In Research Mindset

    05:01 Childhood Climate Fear

    07:25 Skeptic Turn In Zurich

    09:48 Checking Claims One By One

    13:44 Old Scares Same Script

    18:18 Eco Anxiety Health Crash

    21:50 Are People Waking Up

    24:10 Cargo Bikes Backlash

    25:02 Finding Real Climate Data

    25:53 Net Zero Meets Blackouts

    26:32 Nuclear For Data Centers

    28:50 Renewables Reality Check

    29:29 Wind Turbine True Costs

    30:35 Humor In The Book

    31:14 Party Of Doom Story

    33:01 Reaching True Believers

    33:30 Sea Level Claims Tested

    34:55 Climate Fear And Moving

    36:16 Mind Body Healing

    37:54 Handling Critics And Online

    38:51 Audiobook And Happer Forward

    40:46 Conference Protest Moment

    41:20 Final Book Plug Thanks

    https://x.com/anika_climate

    https://aloadofbollocks.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    42 min
  3. James Kamis: “El Nino/La Nina system generated by geological forces” #440

    Show notes

    Geologist James Kamis argues El Niño and La Niña are generated by geological forces near a stationary Pacific Ring of Fire source, not primarily by trade-wind shifts. Citing cone-shaped warming/cooling patterns, helium concentrations as volcanic indicators, burst-like heat “blobs,” sharp temperature boundaries, centuries of recorded events, seafloor volcanoes, hydrothermal vents, trenches, and methane hydrate “ice rocks,” he proposes magma heat melts hydrates to create La Niña cooling and continued heating yields El Niño warming. He compares related phenomena (El Padre/La Madre), points to rapid North Atlantic warming linked to a spreading center, and says volcanic impacts may be underestimated in climate studies. He calls for more seafloor mapping and denser Argo buoy coverage.

    00:00 Meet the Geologist

    01:14 Geology Behind ENSO

    03:09 Why Wind Theory Fails

    05:16 Volcanic Evidence

    10:18 Ring of Fire Origins

    11:05 Ocean Floor Revealed

    12:20 Undersea Volcanoes

    14:20 Hydrothermal Heat Engine

    16:09 Faults and Quakes

    17:19 Methane Hydrates Model

    20:01 Source Area Deep Dive

    21:46 La Niña Mechanics

    23:33 Analog Events Worldwide

    27:29 Atlantic Heat Spike

    29:27 Climate Change Impacts

    33:25 Wrap Up and Q&A

    Kamis’ website: https://www.plateclimatology.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    40 min
  4. Dave Burton: “Lifetimes Of Atmospheric CO2 And Heat” #439

    Show notes

    David Burton argues recent warming (~1.25°C since 1870) is small and often overstated, while CO2 benefits crops and ecosystems by boosting growth and water efficiency, reducing famine risk alongside fossil-fuel-based nitrogen fertilizer. He says storm and sea-level data show little acceleration, citing linear long-term tide-gauge records like Honolulu and noting local land motion dominates. His paper discusses multiple CO2 “lifetimes”: turnover (3–5 years), bomb-spike radiocarbon (~20 years), and the climate-relevant adjustment time he estimates at ~55±10 years, with a long tail he deems currently unimportant. He criticizes IPCC “cumulative emissions/TCRE” and “carbon budget” concepts as unphysical, analyzes direct waste heat as negligible (~52–58 days), and promotes his sealevel.info tools and archived Climategate emails.

    00:00 Meet David Burton

    00:23 How Much Warming Really

    02:04 Ice Ages And Freezing Thresholds

    03:06 CO2 Greening And Crop Gains

    05:28 Famine History And Fertilizer

    07:48 Storms Tornadoes And Sea Level

    11:00 Paper Overview CO2 Lifetimes

    11:55 Turnover Bomb Spike Adjustment

    14:31 Cumulative Emissions Myth

    15:38 Heat Pulse Lifetime

    19:45 Suess Effect Carbon14 Confusion

    27:03 Why CO2 Rises Negative Feedbacks

    30:03 Linear Removal Rate And Limits

    34:14 Why Plant Uptake Stays Linear

    35:30 CO2 Boosts Crop Yields

    37:03 Airborne Fraction Myth

    39:16 Emissions Plateau Math

    42:14 Long Tail Lifespan Debate

    43:40 Cumulative Emissions Critique

    48:49 Carbon Budget Pushback

    50:50 How Long Heat Lasts

    55:10 Where to Find More

    56:39 Sea Level Tools vs NOAA

    01:01:05 Climategate Archive Access

    01:02:56 Ocean Chemistry and Carbonate

    01:08:08 Climate Industry FUD Wrap

    https://co2coalition.org/teammember/david-burton/

    ClimateGate emails on Dave’s site: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1916076156371058904

    Watts Up With That article on Dave’s site: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/21/new-website-gives-you-the-real-deal-on-sea-level-rise-and-rates/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1 hr 10 min
  5. Chuck Wiese: “Contradicting Conclusions From Atmospheric Science” #438

    Show notes

    Chuck Weiss presents his background in atmospheric science, meteorology, aviation, and inventing the Windicator, then argues Oregon universities and public schools promote a politicized “climate crisis” despite Oregon’s small share of global emissions. He defines the greenhouse effect as a radiation-flux difference and claims water vapor and clouds dominate radiative processes while CO2 mainly cools the troposphere and has negligible warming influence, especially over oceans. He argues convection and the hydrologic cycle negate CO2 effects, climate models fail due to grid-resolution and energy-tracking limits, and key predictions (e.g., tropical mid-troposphere “hotspot”) conflict with balloon/satellite data. He attributes recent warming to declining albedo, alleges temperature-data manipulation, disputes extreme-weather and Arctic-ice claims, and criticizes green-energy policies as costly and ineffective.

    00:00 Meet Chuck Weiss

    00:25 Credentials and Forecasting Wins

    02:34 Aviation Career Highlights

    03:08 Why He Challenges CO2 Theory

    04:38 Oregon Climate Politics Critique

    07:39 Schools and Climate Indoctrination

    09:19 Defining the Greenhouse Effect

    12:00 Greenhouse Gases Spectrum Breakdown

    16:51 Why Greenhouse Gases Cool Air

    18:49 Water Vapor Drives Convection

    22:50 Clouds Cancel CO2 Warming

    24:53 Ocean Absorption Reality Check

    27:14 How Climate Models Work

    31:48 Model Predictions vs Observations

    36:04 Hotspot Failure in Mid Troposphere

    39:01 Temperature Data Adjustments

    42:00 Satellite Record Teaser

    42:17 Satellite Warming Pause

    43:41 Albedo Drives Warming

    44:37 Radiative Forcing Critique

    48:37 Hansen CO2 Claims

    50:13 Emissions vs CO2 Rise

    52:14 CO2 Cycle and E-Time

    55:59 Severe Weather Myth

    01:01:45 Trenberth Missing Heat

    01:03:03 Arctic Ice Reality Check

    01:04:58 Fake Crisis Wrap-Up

    01:06:56 Why Climate Models Fail

    01:09:29 AI and Turbulence Talk

    01:14:46 Flying in Heat and Cold

    01:17:41 Final Policy Takeaway

    Chuck Wiese’s Critique of the 6th Oregon Climate assessment: https://edberry.com/critique-of-the-6th-oregon-climate-assessment/

    More at Ed Berry’s site here: https://edberry.com/?s=wiese

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1 hr 19 min
  6. Iain Davis: “The Technocratic Dark State” | Tom Nelson Pod #437

    Show notes

    Iain Davis discusses his book The Technocratic Dark State, arguing Silicon Valley oligarchs (e.g., Thiel, Musk, Andreessen, Altman, Ellison) steer policy toward a tokenized “everything” economy, including natural assets, carbon markets, and a vastly expanded paper valuation. He says climate narratives may be rebranded across political demographics to sell the same goal: technocratic digital control via programmable money, digital identity, AI-driven surveillance, and BIS-led cross-border “interoperable” payment standards. Davis warns censorship will shift from speech to “reach,” citing the UK Online Safety Act and arrests for online comments, and describes “everything apps,” biometrics-based payments, and geo-fenced spending as tools for automated compliance and fines. He contends surveillance is already pervasive through devices and apps, and says adoption is ultimately a public choice.

    00:00 Meet Iain Davis

    00:11 Silicon Valley and Trump

    03:10 Tokenizing Everything

    05:18 Carbon Markets and Nature

    08:39 Climate Narrative Rebrand

    10:51 Digital Control Pitch

    12:51 Free Speech and Shadowbans

    16:04 Online Safety and Censorship

    20:31 X as Everything App

    23:05 Crisis Pressure and Control

    28:04 Debt and Tokenized Assets

    32:03 Stablecoins and New Rails

    33:49 Programmable Money Interop

    35:51 BIS Controls Standards

    37:49 Bitcoin as Reserve Asset

    41:13 Programmable Money Fears

    42:12 AI Data Lake Control

    46:31 Robots and Adoption Incentives

    50:54 Mass Surveillance Reality

    56:05 Face Pay and Auto Fines

    58:45 Digital ID Skepticism

    01:02:07 Agentic State Explained

    01:06:15 Wrap Up and Choice

    https://iaindavis.com/

    https://www.ukcolumn.org/writer/iain-davis

    https://x.com/_InThisTogether

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1 hr 7 min
  7. Paul Burgess: “An explanation of climate change, pure and simple” | Tom Nelson Pod #436

    Show notes

    Paul Burgess presents his “Oceanic Index” model of climate change, arguing oceans regulate low cloud cover that acts as Earth’s thermostat, explaining satellite-era temperatures (1982–2025) with high accuracy and extending the approach back using proxies. He accepts anthropogenic CO2 and a direct ECS near 1–1.2°C per doubling, estimating about 0.6°C warming from CO2 since 1850, but rejects IPCC feedbacks and says a ~2.4% reduction in low clouds can account for additional warming, consistent with CERES radiation data where ocean changes lead cloud changes and then temperature. He discusses mechanisms from meteorology (marine inversion changes), historical periods (Little Ice Age, Roman/Medieval warmth) as largely natural, critiques temperature records and climate messaging, and briefly comments on Lindzen’s iris effect and energy policy debates.

    00:00 Cloud Thermostat Intro

    01:25 Oceanic Index Basics

    03:16 What I Accept

    04:45 Out of Sample Proof

    06:00 ECS Debate Explained

    07:32 Ocean Cloud Mechanism

    09:16 CERES Sunshade Evidence

    12:59 Small Cloud Drop Big Warming

    14:26 Back to 1695

    16:34 Holocene Lessons

    17:40 Oceans Through Minima

    20:57 Warm Periods Without CO2

    22:03 Mediterranean Cloud Check

    24:51 Extending Index to 1800s

    28:02 Connolly Adjustment Fit

    29:49 El Nino 1870s Peak

    30:55 El Niño Context

    31:22 ECS Assumptions

    31:52 Clouds Fill The Gap

    33:32 Feedback Claim Rebuttal

    34:57 Frozen Formula Validation

    36:02 CERES Versus IPCC

    38:04 Scorecard Evidence

    40:12 Cloud Mechanism Explained

    41:07 Kid Friendly Ocean Cycle

    44:21 Alarmism And Propaganda

    50:49 Iris Effect Question

    52:40 Net Zero Cost Reality

    55:27 Closing Thoughts

    Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism

    Main paper: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/how-the-sun-via-the-oceans-controls

    The paper on comparing the Mediterranean study: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/a-mediterranean-study-of-the-effect

    The Paper On The Holocene as far as LIA: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/holocene-to-the-little-ice-age-a

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    56 min
  8. Ed Hoskins: “Weather-Dependent “Renewables” | Tom Nelson Pod #435

    Show notes

    Ed Hoskins presents slides comparing renewables (onshore/offshore wind, solar PV, plus biomass and hydro) with gas, coal/lignite, and nuclear on productivity, EROEI, CO2 embedded in construction, land use, materials, build time, service life, and costs adjusted for capacity factors. He cites European capacity factors since 2010 (offshore ~32%, onshore ~20s, solar ~11%), a combined renewables average near 15% and declining since 2020, and a 2023 wind lull leaving large multi-day deficits. He argues storage to cover such gaps is infeasible, renewables require backup and expanded grids, wear out faster, and become far costlier once productivity is included; nuclear is most energy-productive. He criticizes Germany’s nuclear shutdown and questions CO2-driven policy.

    00:00 Renewables Reality Check

    02:17 Capacity Factors Since 2010

    05:33 Dispatchability And Grid Backup

    08:42 Wind Drought Case Study

    11:43 Storage Costs And Scale

    13:25 Energy Return On Investment

    16:19 Germany Nuclear Shutdown

    17:35 Embedded CO2 And Biomass

    21:38 Land Use And Grid Sprawl

    25:01 Build Times And Lifespans

    29:16 Cost Comparisons With Productivity

    41:00 2025 Installations And Conclusions

    46:48 CO2 Warming Diminishing Returns

    49:34 Q&A Grid Reliability And China

    56:06 Wrap Up And Resources

    About Ed: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/

    https://edhoskins.substack.com/

    CO2 concentration Ed Hoskins 2014: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/co2-concentration-ed-hoskins-2014/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    57 min
  9. Randall Bock: “Non-scary viruses” | Tom Nelson Pod #434

    Show notes

    Dr. Randall Bock, a primary-care physician and author of Overturning Zika, argues that public-health research and media often fuel panic to secure funding, citing Peter Hotez’s warnings about dengue, chikungunya, Zika, and a “lights out” U.S. yellow fever scenario. Bock says U.S. sanitation and mosquito control limit these risks and that vaccines could be ramped up quickly. He contends the 2015–16 Brazil Zika–microcephaly crisis was driven by inconsistent microcephaly definitions, weak testing, and miscounting, noting Zika later persisted without microcephaly. He criticizes Zika human challenge trials and Fauci-era spending, discusses “science under siege” rhetoric, and briefly shares cautious views on childhood vaccination timing.

    00:00 Why Non-Scary Viruses

    01:29 Who Am I

    03:09 Hotez Warning Yellow Fever

    05:46 Climate Link Tomatoes Analogy

    07:37 Yellow Fever Reality Check

    08:35 COVID Vaccine Warp Speed

    11:25 Zika Forecasts Fell Flat

    16:11 Microcephaly Counting Mess

    20:42 Vaccines and Zika Trials

    26:37 Science Under Siege Critique

    30:15 Dark Money and mRNA Push

    32:56 Mann Lawsuit and Hygiene

    35:14 Hygiene and Dengue

    36:01 McNeil and Zika Panic

    39:53 Microcephaly Metrics

    42:08 Hotez and Fauci Reboots

    44:37 Soviet Science Rhetoric

    47:53 Yellow Fever Scares

    50:12 Ghost Babies Fallout

    59:22 Vaccines Parenting Choices

    https://x.com/@DrRandallBock

    https://dailysceptic.org/2026/09/28/the-experts-are-still-trying-to-scare-us-with-non-scary-viruses/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1 hr 9 min
  10. John Costella: “ClimateGate” #433

    Show notes

    John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies.

    00:00 Meet John Costella

    00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus

    01:10 Sally Challenges Belief

    03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point

    04:34 Climategate Emails Leak

    05:53 Publishing The Email Archive

    07:54 Talks And Printed Book

    09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards

    16:02 How Long The Book Took

    17:48 Climate Science Complexity

    22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry

    31:04 Small Core Group Problem

    32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review

    36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals

    38:27 Data and Code Transparency

    39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance

    41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse

    43:19 Models and Feedback Loops

    46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method

    49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels

    52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics

    55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss

    01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers

    01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights

    01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk

    01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Links

    https://johncostella.com/

    https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf

    ClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181

    My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1 hr 14 min
  11. Stephen Andrews: “Extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” #432

    Show notes

    Steve Andrews presents an “extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” for climate change, building on Svensmark and Shaviv’s idea that galactic cosmic rays influence low clouds and cooling, modulated by solar and Earth magnetic fields. Using UAH satellite temperature anomalies (1979–present), CERES, and Oulu neutron counts, he claims monthly warming-rate peaks occur near equinoxes, varies by region, and differs over land vs ocean. He links this to the Russell–McPherron effect: equinox magnetic alignment increases geomagnetic storms, solar-energy input heats and expands the thermosphere, shifting where cosmic-ray energy is dissipated, altering cloud height (higher clouds warming). He argues CO2-driven warming is unsupported, cites CERN CLOUD evidence for cloud nuclei, and suggests declining geomagnetic strength may matter.

    00:00 Steve Returns and Topic

    00:25 Feynman Quotes and Credentials

    01:19 Cosmic Ray Climate Basics

    04:13 Heliosphere and Magnetosphere

    07:50 Evidence and Correlations

    13:28 New Solar Oscillations

    16:43 Why Satellite Data Matters

    20:33 Monthly Warming Rate Method

    22:26 Equinox Peaks in Warming

    25:58 Exceptions Canada Australia

    29:33 Land Minus Ocean Signal

    32:05 Geomagnetic Storm Explanation

    35:59 Auroras and Equinox Effect

    36:20 Cloud Height Climate Lever

    36:47 Thermosphere Heating Mechanism

    39:20 Thermosphere Expansion Evidence

    40:08 Tropics and Cosmic Ray Patterns

    42:14 Climate Impact Summary

    43:40 Cloud Data and Correlations

    45:06 Challenges and Magnetic Field

    49:48 Solar Flux and Altitude Signals

    53:22 QBO Link to Solar Cycles

    56:38 Satellite Cloud Height Trends

    59:12 Long Records and Big Claims

    01:03:43 Renewables Cost Anecdote

    01:05:47 Q and A CERN and Aerosols

    01:11:39 Closing Remarks

    Stephen Andrews Substack: https://substack.com/@stephen938

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1 hr 12 min
  12. Cohler/Soon: “ Response to Ed Berry’s recent presentation” #431

    Show notes

    Jonathan Cohler, joined by Willie Soon, says he is correcting false statements Ed Berry made about their paper “Dominance of Natural Atmospheric CO2 Dynamics,” which is under review and posted online. Cohler argues Berry wrongly claimed they ignored Berry’s work, presented an identical delta-14C “proof,” and called for a carbon-cycle model; Cohler says they cited Berry prominently and used newer radiocarbon data (Hua et al. 2022) and Koutsoyiannis 2024. They distinguish residence time (~3.8 years) from radiocarbon relaxation time (~18.4 years), claim a bridge equation links them, and assert their new work mathematically refutes Bern multi-exponential/adjustment-time models. They also discuss conflicts with the CO2 Coalition over attributing CO2 rise to humans.

    00:00 Why This Rebuttal

    01:23 Berry Claims Overview

    03:16 New Radiocarbon Data

    05:19 Lie One Citation Record

    07:33 Lie Two Not Identical

    10:00 Lie Three No Model Needed

    12:34 Why Skip Berry 2023

    13:16 Residence vs Relaxation

    15:57 Bridge Equation Results

    17:20 Math Theorems Against Bern

    18:29 Independent Checks and Implications

    21:38 Host Q and IPCC Confusion

    22:49 Soon on Adjustment Time Myth

    24:55 Table Consensus and Bern Failure

    26:25 Bomb 14C Reality Check

    27:30 Why Bomb Tests Matter

    28:19 Ethics And Accusations

    29:27 Data Driven Challenge

    31:08 CO2 Coalition Split

    33:32 Math Not Debate

    36:55 Ugly Email Wars

    40:01 Science Over Ego

    42:52 Searchers Versus Blockers

    43:22 Passing The Torch

    45:08 Final Thanks And Goodbye

    https://x.com/cohler

    https://papers.jcohler.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    45 min
  13. Eric Huxter: “Metrology vs Meteorology” #430

    Show notes

    Eric Huxter, a former geography teacher, presents research on UK Met Office maximum temperature records, arguing that the shift from liquid-in-glass thermometers to platinum resistance thermometers (1990–2017) plus station siting and ventilation issues (Aitken effect) produces transient “spikes” that inflate maxima and accelerate apparent warming. Using WeatherObs, Met Office extremes, and purchased 1‑minute Rothamsted data, he finds many maxima occur before the hourly value, with mean rise-to-peak spikes ~1.29°C and many low-probability jumps; some on-the-hour maxima don’t match hourly data. He notes records are concentrated in few stations, often airports or poorer CIMO classes, and critiques record events (Coningsby 2022, Lingwood 2025).

    00:00 Meet Eric Huxter

    02:13 Forecasts Versus Reality

    05:55 UK Stations And Siting

    08:22 CIMO Ratings And Bias

    17:12 PRT Shift And Aitken Effect

    22:10 Rothamsted Baseline Method

    27:17 Spikes In Daily Maxima

    38:00 On The Hour Mystery

    39:56 Step Change Since 1990

    43:13 Microclimate Case Studies

    48:24 Record Events Under Scrutiny

    58:42 Met Office Narrative Critique

    01:06:27 Wrap Up And Where To Follow

    https://x.com/EricHuxter

    https://frayedendsblog.wordpress.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1 hr 12 min
  14. Ed Berry: “Nature Controls the CO2 Level” #429

    Show notes

    Ed Berry presents a step-by-step, nontechnical overview of his theoretical climate physics work, arguing that “consensus” and authority claims are not science and that climate policy relies on three assumptions, focusing on A1: humans caused all the CO2 rise. He says A1 depends on a false sub-assumption that human CO2 stays longer than natural CO2, proposing a “climate equivalence principle” that identical molecules behave the same. Using IPCC carbon-cycle data and a linear systems model, he derives an atmospheric e-time of ~3.5 years and estimates human CO2 contributes only a few percent, supported by delta-14C and temperature-leading-CO2 studies. He also discusses climate lawsuits (including Held v. Montana), political influence, and criticism of DOE/CO2 Coalition positions.

    00:00 Meet Ed Berry

    00:53 From Clouds to Climate

    01:49 Why Consensus Fails

    03:11 Scientific Method Basics

    05:16 Three Climate Assumptions

    06:55 Debunking CO2 Lifetime Claim

    08:35 Climate Equivalence Principle

    09:21 IPCC Carbon Cycle Data

    12:48 Flows and Human Share

    14:11 Building a Carbon Model

    16:26 E-Time and Linearity

    19:40 Deriving Balance Levels

    21:30 Finding IPCC E-Times

    25:02 Human vs Natural CO2 Split

    27:21 What 420 ppm Implies

    27:58 Systems Model Math

    29:29 Partitioning Human CO2

    31:37 IPCC Cycle Contradiction

    34:24 Courtney Endorsement

    35:45 Delta 14C Evidence

    39:33 Interpreting Bomb Curve

    42:09 Temperature Leads CO2

    44:21 Proofs Summary

    48:29 Montana Lawsuit Setup

    50:51 WEF Influence Claims

    52:11 DOE Report Problem

    53:19 Koonin And CO2C Critique

    56:48 Group Positions Wrap

    57:48 Q&A And Closing

    https://edberry.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    59 min
  15. Will Wilkinson on his Will Happer biography: “Standing Up for Science” #428

    Show notes

    Will Wilkinson discusses a biography he was hired to write about Princeton physicist William Happer, combining four chapters of life story with a climate-focused second half arguing science has been politicized. He describes Happer’s decades-long career, including inventing the sodium laser guide star for missile defense and work adapted for medical lung imaging, plus Happer’s “trust and verify” approach and skepticism of models over measurements. They cover Happer’s CO2 Coalition role, controversy at Princeton, colleagues’ contributions (e.g., Lindzen, Koonin, Ridd), and comparisons to Lysenkoism and past scientific dissent. The author stresses curiosity, civil communication, and avoiding fear-driven climate hysteria.

    00:00 Meet Will Wilkinson

    00:27 Writing Happer Biography

    01:45 Happer Science Legacy

    02:42 Climate Views Adaptation

    03:29 Laser Guide Star Explained

    05:12 Trust and Verify Mindset

    06:04 Princeton Controversy

    07:14 Famous Colleagues Stories

    09:18 Childhood and Formation

    10:58 Standing Up for Science

    13:28 Lysenkoism and Dogma

    16:38 Outsiders and Discovery

    21:15 Curiosity and Measuring

    23:25 CO2 Politics and Money

    24:45 Book Release and Coalition

    25:43 Rogan Episode and Outreach

    27:07 Documentary and Prior Bio

    28:33 Reluctant Scientist Profile

    30:10 Working Life at Princeton

    31:05 Red Team Blue Team Fallout

    32:01 Middle Ground Climate Debate

    34:46 Colleagues and Reef Controversy

    37:29 Skepticism After COVID

    41:38 Single Source of Truth Quotes

    44:24 Kindness Over Division

    48:41 Hope Against Climate Hysteria

    50:23 Meaningful Memoirs and AI

    54:04 Wrap Up and Thanks

    Will Wilkinson’s web site: https://www.meaningfulmemoirs.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    55 min
  16. Jonathan Cohler: “ Fossil fuel combustion drove essentially none of the atmospheric CO2 growth” #427

    Show notes

    Jonathan Cohler presents a newly submitted paper using mass conservation, isotopic signatures (delta 13C), and multiple datasets to apply the Keeling relation and infer a consistent intercept near -13.2‰ across sites and time spans. He argues this makes fossil fuels (signature ~-28‰) at most 26% of net atmospheric CO2 change and, using preindustrial constraints, essentially ~0–1.3%, contradicting claims by IPCC, NASA, NOAA, EPA, and the CO2 Coalition. He says CO2 residence time is ~3.8 years and attributes rising CO2 to natural temperature-driven ocean/soil outgassing. He criticizes the CO2 Coalition for conflating accounting identities with causation, describes harassment, and says he resigned.

    00:00 New Paper Claim

    01:29 Three Inputs Setup

    03:25 Isotope Signatures 101

    06:05 Keeling Relation Explained

    10:17 Datasets And Intercepts

    13:38 Solving For Fossil Fraction

    22:22 Why Fossil Dominance Fails

    25:16 Rejecting The Conclusion

    28:04 Carbon Cycle Turnover

    31:45 What Drives CO2 Rise

    33:56 Ancient CO2 And Whataboutism

    36:53 CO2 Coalition Errors Teaser

    37:38 Accounting vs Causation

    39:23 Feynman on Conservation

    40:37 What Proves Causality

    41:37 Atmospheric Balance Equation

    42:53 Coalition Paper Misreads

    46:25 Molecules Not Labeled

    48:08 Residuals Aren't Attribution

    49:56 Isotopes Discriminate Sources

    51:27 Airborne Fraction Fallacy

    53:41 Retention and Cycle Time

    56:02 Harassment and Resignation

    01:03:18 CO2 Forcing and Policy Costs

    01:08:51 X Feedback and Contact

    01:13:38 Wrap Up and Links

    https://x.com/cohler

    https://papers.jcohler.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1 hr 14 min
  17. James Tooley: “ You don't need government for education” #426

    Show notes

    James Tooley describes two decades researching “low-cost private schools” serving poor families in India, Africa, rural China, and war-torn countries, arguing parents choose them because government/public schools often abandon children. He cites widespread enrollment (e.g., majorities in parts of Lagos and Kampala), higher standardized test performance, no gender bias, affordability around 10% of family spending, and sustainability as small businesses. He now finds a similar U.S. phenomenon in hybrid/micro schools, visiting examples in Pine Ridge (Onward Learning), rural Mississippi, refugee-serving Clarkston, and rural Oregon, and surveying 5,390 parents: about 4% use low-tuition private schools. He discusses limited, careful roles for philanthropy, and worries about dependence on government ESAs.

    00:00 Meet James Tooley

    01:03 Hyderabad Discovery

    03:25 Government School Reality

    05:37 Makoko Lagos Expedition

    07:49 Kibera Ghana China Proof

    11:49 Beautiful Tree Thesis

    13:04 War Torn Africa Schools

    15:48 Five Key Features

    21:06 Federations And Pushback

    22:02 Low Cost Schools In America

    25:53 Pine Ridge Onward Learning

    29:46 Mississippi Trailer School

    33:19 Refugees And Oregon Example

    36:08 National Survey Findings

    41:45 Philanthropy And Donations

    43:26 Quality Assurance Debate

    46:33 School Choice ESA Concerns

    49:57 Where To Follow James

    50:46 Final Reflections

    The Beautiful Tree: https://a.co/d/032zFHgW

    Really Good Schools: Global Lessons for High-Caliber, Low-Cost Education: https://a.co/d/01VMoY3r

    https://x.com/james_tooley

    https://uk.linkedin.com/in/james-tooley-320a8410

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    52 min
  18. Tom Harris: “Pushing back against climate hysteria in Canada” #425

    Show notes

    Tom Harris argues Canada’s claim of warming twice the global average is unreliable because northern data coverage is sparse and “homogenized” station adjustments may exaggerate trends. He questions the meaning of average temperature and says Canada’s record shows a step change around 1998, consistent with El Niño and possibly the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, not steady greenhouse-gas forcing. He cites extreme-weather records peaking in the 1930s and references Heartland’s Climate Change Reconsidered and Roger Pielke’s datasets as showing little detected change in many extremes. Harris then describes organizing local activists, using Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals, rehearsing questions, and bypassing media censorship to challenge municipal climate policies.

    00:00 Meet Tom Harris

    00:19 Canada Warming Claims

    00:41 Is Warming Bad

    03:21 So Called Averages

    05:13 Overlapping Ranges

    08:06 Why Start 1948

    11:08 Heat Records Evidence

    11:54 Sparse Arctic Stations

    14:39 Homogenized Adjustments

    17:00 Step Change Not CO2

    18:57 Hickey Speaks Out

    21:59 Natural Cycles Theory

    22:59 PR Versus Evidence

    24:22 Extreme Weather Database

    25:56 Heartland Reports

    28:32 Warmer Means Milder

    31:07 Pielke Teaser

    31:19 Global Extremes Database

    31:51 P Factor Explained

    32:30 Translator Not Climatologist

    33:33 Drilling Into Continents

    34:48 Wildfire History Context

    37:23 Heatwave Data Concerns

    38:31 Local Activism Playbook

    40:06 Alinsky Rules In Action

    42:49 Debate Questions And Ridicule

    47:16 Training Volunteers Nationwide

    51:59 Beating Media Censorship

    53:55 Groups Funding And Contact

    56:17 Practice Sessions And Wins

    57:43 Wrap Up Resources

    http://icsc-canada.com

    http://sensiblechange.ca

    https://x.com/TomHarrisICSC

    https://drtomharris.substack.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    58 min
  19. Dai Ato: “ Spurious Correlation Between Atmospheric CO2 Increase and Human Emissions” #424

    Show notes

    Dai Ato presents findings from three papers arguing atmospheric CO2 rise is largely natural, claiming multivariate analyses reject human emissions as a significant predictor of annual CO2 increases while sea surface temperature (SST) is significant. He says detrended annual-change comparisons show emissions vs CO2 change has near-zero correlation, while SST retains moderate correlation, consistent with CO2 solubility in water. He also claims ice-core CO2 reconstructions are incorrect and that temperature leads specific humidity, rejecting CO2–water vapor positive feedback; absorbed shortwave and total solar irradiance correlate with SST while CO2 is negligible or negative. In Q&A, he expects the Keeling Curve to keep rising, COVID emission drops to have little effect, and rejects a stable 280 ppm preindustrial CO2.

    00:00 Intro And Agenda

    00:39 Three Paper Overview

    04:01 CO2 Rise Not Human

    07:05 Detrending Spurious Links

    10:33 Water Vapor Feedback Tested

    13:19 Solar And Albedo Drivers

    17:12 Past Evidence SST Leads

    21:50 Global Temperature Averaging

    23:58 Key Takeaways And DOE

    26:04 Why I Wrote These Papers

    33:06 Ice Core Reconstruction Issues

    34:17 Closing Thoughts And Q&A

    https://x.com/info45037254

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    40 min
  20. Ron Clutz Part 2: “Highlights from 3400 Climate Blog Posts” #423

    Show notes

    Ron Clutz continues a three-part framework on climate change: humans cause warming, warming is dangerous, and government can stop it. He argues observed warming can be explained by post–Little Ice Age recovery plus multidecadal oscillations and solar-orbital effects, and says “alarmists” deny these. He describes a taxpayer-funded “climate scare machine” and cites a Climate Change Business Journal estimate of a $3.4T/year global climate industry. Using Joseph D’Aleo’s materials, he disputes claims about heatwaves, storms, droughts, wildfires, ice loss, ocean acidification, health, and food, then focuses on Arctic sea ice cycles and sea-level model projections versus tide gauges. He stresses climate is local (Köppen zones) and says climate policies are wasteful, ineffective, and harmful, citing project failures, costs, and energy poverty.

    00:00 Framework Recap

    01:07 Natural Warming Factors

    03:56 Climate Scare Machine

    07:59 Eleven Empty Claims

    13:56 Polar Bears and Sea Ice

    20:00 Sea Level Scare Tactics

    28:27 Climates Are Local

    35:13 Warming Impacts Summary

    35:59 Can Governments Stop It

    37:56 Energy Transition Reality

    40:19 Why Hydrocarbons Rule

    42:06 Energy Mix Big Picture

    43:47 Trillions Visualized

    45:22 Waste One Missing Funds

    45:59 Waste Two Project Failures

    48:35 Waste Three Blade Graveyards

    49:13 Waste Four Operational Collapse

    50:18 Hydrogen And Biofuels

    51:32 Fear Sells Climate Policy

    53:06 Policy Weapons And Results

    55:51 Energy Poverty And Jobs

    59:09 Rare Metals And Land Use

    01:01:40 Better Priorities Consensus

    01:02:29 Absurd Costly Pointless

    01:03:59 Cartoons And Media Satire

    01:09:33 Arctic Update And Data

    01:13:28 Wrap Up Links And Wildfires

    https://rclutz.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1 hr 19 min

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