Unanimous Decision Podcast: UFC Picks & MMA Betting

Full recap of UFC Vegas 123. Tom Nolan stopped Renato Moicano in round three after a controversial stand-up. Julian Erosa knocked out Jung Young Lee in the first round of his retirement fight. Jacobe Smith went the distance for the first time and stayed undefeated.

We go through every fight and grade every pick: 8-3 on my picks, and the betting model went 4-0. I’m honest about where I went against the model and missed. We also cover my bets and the parlay of the week.

Then we take an early look at UFC Vegas 124. Bonfim vs Brady is off, so Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Johnny Walker is the new main event, with Tatiana Suarez vs Virna Jandiroba in the co-main. We share the model’s biggest early edge and the fights it can’t read yet. These are early model reads only. Full picks come in this week’s preview show.

UFC Vegas 123 is here, and for the first time the Unanimous Decision Podcast has a co-host. We break down every fight on the Halloween card from the UFC Apex: Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan in the main event, and Randy Brown vs the undefeated Jacobe Smith in the co-main.

The veteran against the prospect. Moicano is 37 and has been in there with Islam Makhachev, Beneil Dariush and Rafael dos Anjos. Nolan is 26, 11-1, and headlining for the first time in his first five-round fight. Can Nolan’s length and power win the early rounds before Moicano gets the body lock?

We also cover:

• Why the small Apex cage changes how you bet this card
• 28 of the last 39 UFC fights ended in a finish. What that means for Saturday
• The biggest size gap on the card: Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith
• Yana Santos vs Luana Santos, Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden and the full prelims
• Julian Erosa’s retirement fight
• Where our betting model sees value, plus our picks, best bet and parlay

UFC 333 is in the books. It was a rough one, and I’m not hiding from it.

Alexander Volkanovski TKO’d the undefeated Movsar Evloev in round two. Petr Yan took a unanimous decision to win the trilogy over Merab Dvalishvili. Seven of the 14 fights ended inside the distance, and six of those were in round one.

In this episode:
A quick recap of every fight on the card
How the model did (2–5) and how my picks did (6–8)
Every bet I placed, including the live ones.
What I found when I audited the model, and the rule changes I’m making
An early look at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan (Halloween, Oct 31). These are early model reads only, no picks yet. The full breakdown drops Thursday.

The bad weeks get told the same way as the good ones. Size right and don’t chase.

🎧 Listen everywhere:
YouTube: https://youtube.com/@unanimousdecmma
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6vMsph1kUzmufkUjk2YY28
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/unanimous-decision-podcast-ufc-picks-mma-betting/id6824016494

If you got value out of this, like the video and subscribe. It helps the channel more than you know.
Follow me on X: @UnanimousDecisionMMA. My plays go up there before every card.

Bet responsibly. Size right. Don’t chase.

This is not financial advice. For entertainment purposes only. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

#UFC333 #UFC #MMA #Volkanovski #Evloev #PetrYan #MerabDvalishvili #UFCRecap #UFCPicks #UFCBetting #MMABetting #SportsBetting #MoicanoNolan #UFCFightNight

UFC 333 is live from Abu Dhabi this Saturday. Alexander Volkanovski defends the featherweight title against the undefeated Movsar Evloev. Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili meet for the third time with the bantamweight belt on the line.

I break down all 14 fights. For each one you get the current betting line, the line my UFC model makes, and whether there’s an edge. Then I go through the tape on both fighters and give you my pick.

This card is loaded with coin flips. That’s where the work matters.

Model plays this week: Evloev, Yakhyaev, Aliev, Malkoun, Lucindo.

Card start times (Eastern): Early Prelims 10 AM, Prelims 12 PM, Main Card 2 PM.

Lines are from BetOnline as of Wednesday, Oct 21. Lines move, so shop for the best number.

If you got value out of this, follow the show and leave a rating. It helps more than you know.

Watch the full episode with the graphics on YouTube, and follow me on X at @UnanimousDecisionMMA. My plays go up there before the card.

Bet responsibly. Size right. Don’t chase.

For entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Full recap of UFC Edmonton: Buckley vs Malott. Every pick graded, wins and losses.

Official plays went 1-2 on the night, show picks went 7-6, and model plays went 1-1. It was a small loss, and I talk about why sizing your bets right and not chasing losses is what keeps you in this long term.

Then an early look at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev and Yan vs Dvalishvili 3 in Abu Dhabi, with early model reads. These come before any tape study. Full breakdown with official picks drops Thursday.

Episode Title

Ep. 01: UFC Edmonton Picks & Predictions | Buckley vs Malott Full Card Breakdown

Episode Description

Episode 1 of the Unanimous Decision Podcast. Full card breakdown for UFC Edmonton: Buckley vs Malott, Saturday, October 17 at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta.

Odds are BetOnline as of October 14.

CHAPTERS0:00 Intro2:00 Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott5:53 Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius8:45 Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Pérez10:45 Marc-André Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus12:59 Louis Jourdain vs Timothy Cuamba15:05 Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr18:00 Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz20:10 Julien Leblanc vs Nick Galanti21:32 Javad Mahjoub vs Joel Faglier23:16 Mackenzie Stiller vs Katlyn Cerminara25:06 Chad Anheliger vs Steven Koslow27:04 Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler28:48 SuYoung Yoo vs Cody Chovancek30:35 Model Plays & Live Bets

Watch on YouTube: youtu.be/YHSA4Apocm8
Official plays on X: @UnanimousDecisionMMA

For entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Must be 21+ (or the legal age in your area) to bet. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.