It's A Numbers Game with Ryan Girdusky

With the 2026 midterm elections just hours away, Ryan Girdusky tears into shocking New York Times and AtlasIntel polls predicting a massive Democratic tsunami, exposing questionable voter models, Republican response rates, and numbers he says simply don't add up. Meanwhile, Michigan Democrats turn on their own Senate nominee as Haley Stevens endorses Republican Mike Rogers, while Kansas Senator Roger Marshall faces mounting criticism over his chaotic reelection campaign. From explosive polling controversies to last-minute political betrayals and surprising Census data, A Numbers Game breaks down the election-eve chaos that could reshape Washington.

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Is Texas really about to turn BLUE? Ryan Girdusky breaks down alarming polling, Republican turnout struggles, and growing frustration with Governor Greg Abbott over property taxes, massive data centers, school choice, and billionaire political donors. With Democrats gaining ground and critical midterm elections approaching, Ryan exposes the warning signs that could threaten the GOP's most important political stronghold.

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Republicans are facing alarming early voting numbers ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, and Ryan Girdusky breaks down the Democratic turnout surge threatening GOP hopes in Texas, North Carolina, Kansas, Maine, and other critical states. With more than 35 million ballots already cast, Ryan exposes the troubling gap in low-propensity Republican turnout, the possibility of a Democratic wave, and what the numbers could mean for control of Congress. Plus, President Trump's push to confront Mexican drug cartels, the affordability crisis crushing millennials, and a revealing Ask Me Anything segment on the 2028 presidential election and America's political future.

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Republican Party is heading toward a political showdown, and Ryan Girdusky is sounding the alarm over establishment Republicans who want to drag the GOP back to the disastrous George W. Bush era. On It's a Numbers Game, Ryan unloads on Senator Thom Tillis, exposes what he sees as the failures of Bush-era conservatism, and breaks down the explosive battle brewing over Trump's political legacy and the 2028 presidential election.

Plus, Ryan tackles the 2026 midterms, Democratic presidential hopefuls, election integrity concerns, and why he believes the American left's obsession with Nordic-style socialism doesn't add up.

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ryan Girdusky unloads on Vivek Ramaswamy over a controversial attack ad targeting Democratic gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton, revealing explosive allegations of campaign infighting and a political backlash that could shake Ohio's election. Meanwhile, a polling operation admits its numbers were fabricated, Democrats post stunning leads in key congressional races, and early voting data raises serious questions about whether Republicans are facing a massive blue wave. From the New York Times/Siena poll showing an 11-point Democratic advantage to the battle for control of Congress, Ryan breaks down the numbers, the scandals, and what could happen on Election Day.

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

France is descending into political turmoil as violent riots, widespread looting, and growing public anger put President Emmanuel Macron under intense pressure. Ryan Girdusky is joined by French political analyst Philippe Lemoine to expose what's fueling the unrest, why Macron's government is struggling to maintain control, and whether Marine Le Pen could capitalize on the chaos to win France's presidency. With immigration tensions, economic frustration, and nationalist movements gaining momentum across Europe, could France's crisis signal the beginning of a massive political earthquake that changes the continent forever?

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Is President Donald Trump's immigration crackdown finally bringing housing prices down, and could it be the affordability breakthrough Republicans desperately need before the 2026 midterm elections? Ryan Girdusky breaks down the surprising housing and rental market numbers, the impact of H-1B visa restrictions, and why immigration policy may be one of the biggest overlooked factors driving the cost of living in America.

Plus, Ryan exposes the latest early-voting numbers from Nevada, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, Arizona, and Ohio, reveals alarming polling shifts among young and minority voters, and examines whether Republicans can overcome Democratic enthusiasm to hold Congress in November.

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Is a massive Democrat blue wave coming in the 2026 midterm elections, or could Republicans pull off a stunning upset? Ryan Girdusky welcomes VoteHub data scientist Zachary Donnini to break down the latest election forecasts, including Democrats' projected 84% chance of winning the House, critical early-voting trends, and the battleground races that could determine control of Congress.

From Ken Paxton's surprisingly competitive Texas Senate race and Susan Collins' uncertain future in Maine to Vivek Ramaswamy's challenges in Ohio, the battle for Michigan, and unexpected Republican opportunities in Oregon and California, Ryan and Zachary examine where the polls could be wrong and which candidates are in real danger. They also analyze turnout in Georgia, Florida, and Nevada, the impact of younger voters, and why election-night counting in Maine, Michigan, and Alaska could leave Americans waiting days to learn which party controls the Senate.

Will Democrats ride a blue wave to victory, or are pollsters overlooking another Republican surprise? Watch this election deep dive on It's a Numbers Game with Ryan Girdusky to find out what to watch as the 2026 midterms approach.

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

With just 20 days until the 2026 midterm elections, Republicans face a potential political bloodbath as Democrats eye a massive Senate takeover. On It's a Numbers Game, Ryan Girdusky breaks down the reported federal search of Rep. Ilhan Omar's home, the allegations under investigation, shocking polling shifts among Trump's working-class voters, and the razor-thin Senate races in Texas, Ohio, Maine, Alaska, and beyond. But are Democrats heading toward a historic blue tsunami, or could misleading polls, weak youth turnout, and hidden Republican voters deliver another Election Night shocker?

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ryan Girdusky exposes a potentially massive blind spot in the 2026 midterm polls: Are pollsters missing reliable Republican voters who could dramatically change the outcome of critical Senate, House, and governor's races?

On It's a Numbers Game, Ryan breaks down the hidden GOP vote in Iowa and Kansas, growing frustration with President Trump, the third-party threat to Republican candidates, and Democrats' ambitious push to seize control of state legislatures across America.

Plus, Ryan tackles the controversy surrounding Ms. Rachel, political advertising, and the election-night battlegrounds that could determine who controls Washington and the states after November.

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Is Tucker Carlson losing his influence over the Republican Party? Ryan Girdusky sits down with The New Yorker's Emma Green to expose the explosive Heritage Foundation controversy, the fallout from Tucker Carlson's Nick Fuentes interview, and the growing battle over who will control the conservative movement after Donald Trump.

From Kevin Roberts and the internal turmoil at Heritage to the competing visions of JD Vance, Marco Rubio, and Mike Pence's conservative allies, Ryan and Emma break down the ideological divisions threatening to reshape the GOP ahead of 2028. Is MAGA the permanent future of the Republican Party, or can the old conservative establishment make a comeback?

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Is a Democratic wave building ahead of the midterms—or is the polling hiding a much more complicated election?

Ryan Girdusky breaks down the latest Gallup party identification numbers, early voting data and key Senate, governor and House races that could determine control of Congress. He explains where Democratic enthusiasm is surging, where Republicans may be outperforming expectations, and why the political shift isn't happening evenly across the country.

Plus, Ryan looks at Jeff Bezos and the 2028 presidential speculation, major political shifts in Europe and South America, and answers listener questions about NGOs, USAID and America's growing male loneliness crisis.

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The 2026 midterm elections are just 29 days away—and Ryan Girdusky is looking beyond the polls to the numbers that could actually determine who wins.

On this episode of It’s a Numbers Game, Ryan breaks down two critical indicators heading into Election Day: campaign spending and voter registration. Republicans are pouring money into key Senate, House, and gubernatorial races, while Democrats are showing surprising momentum among newly registered voters in several important states.

Ryan examines the numbers in Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Michigan, Maine, Iowa, Georgia, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada and other battlegrounds—and explains where Republicans and Democrats may have reasons to worry.

Then, Ryan dives into the explosive Cornell University sexual assault case that has become a national political controversy. He examines the allegations, competing accounts, Cornell’s response, the reopened investigation, and why politicians including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Kathy Hochul and Letitia James are now weighing in.

Plus, Ryan answers listener questions about why affluent suburban voters have shifted toward Democrats, Bill Maher’s political evolution, and whether party registration matters in American elections

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ryan Girdusky breaks down the political warning signs facing Republicans with just 32 days until the midterm elections.

Ryan examines polling and voter sentiment surrounding President Donald Trump, traditional Republican voters, the economy, inflation, healthcare costs, immigration, artificial intelligence, taxes, Social Security, and the growing appeal of economic populism. He argues that Republicans in traditionally safe red states and districts can no longer assume victory—and need to campaign aggressively and address the economic concerns affecting voters.

Ryan also makes the case for what he views as the major accomplishments of the Trump administration and Republican Congress, including actions on the southern border, immigration, crime, DEI, prescription drug costs, manufacturing, energy, taxes, and the child tax credit.

Plus, Ryan answers listener questions about the Texas Senate race, James Talarico, Ken Paxton, black voter turnout in Texas, John Cornyn voters, and whether Republicans could face a repeat of past Senate election upsets.

Subscribe to It’s a Numbers Game with Ryan Girdusky for polling analysis, election data, political trends, and the numbers shaping the 2026 midterm elections.

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ryan Girdusky sits down with Nothing Leftauthor Evan Barker for a wide-ranging conversation about the 2026 midterm elections, the battle for the U.S. Senate and the Democrats already positioning themselves for the 2028 presidential race.

Barker discusses Democratic confidence heading into the midterms and examines competitive Senate races in states including Kansas, Nebraska, Michigan and Georgia. The conversation also explores the appeal of economic populism, working-class voters and what could determine whether Democrats can make gains in traditionally Republican territory.

Then Ryan and Evan turn toward 2028: Is Kamala Harris preparing another presidential campaign? Could Jon Ossoff emerge as a national contender? Where do JB Pritzker, Rahm Emanuel, AOC and other potential candidates fit into a Democratic Party divided between progressive activists, traditional Democrats and working-class voters?

Barker also explains why he believes Harris could run again, while discussing the challenges she could face during a prolonged Democratic primary campaign.

Plus, Evan discusses his New York Times bestselling book Nothing Leftand what his firsthand experience inside Democratic politics taught him about the direction of the party.

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Is a massive Democratic blue wave really coming in the 2026 midterm elections—or are the headlines getting ahead of the data?

Ryan Girdusky breaks down the latest 2026 midterm polling, the congressional map, Senate races, and the first early-voting numbers as Election Day approaches.

Ryan examines predictions of huge Democratic gains and explains why political polarization makes nationwide electoral waves different from those of previous generations. He looks at Virginia, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and other key states, including what early turnout may—and may not—tell us about Republican and Democratic enthusiasm.

Plus, Ryan digs into the battle for the Senate, including Texas, Ohio, Alaska and Iowa; discusses Nate Silver’s analysis of Democratic gains in red states; and explains why turnout among lower-propensity voters could matter enormously this November.

Later, Ryan answers listener questions about Nikole Hannah-Jones and education, affordability and housing, the Trump tax cuts, immigration and former Border Patrol official Greg Bovino.

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ryan Girdusky is joined by Jack Posobiec for a deep dive into one of the most disturbing and controversial true-crime cases of 1970s San Francisco: the Zebra murders.

Ryan and Jack retrace the killing spree that terrorized San Francisco, the victims and survivors, the formation of the Zebra Task Force, the controversial police response known as Operation Zebra, and the informant who ultimately helped investigators identify suspects. They also examine the racial and political tensions surrounding San Francisco during the era and discuss why the Zebra murders never became as culturally famous as the Zodiac Killer case.

Plus, Posobiec discusses his book Unhumans: Socialist Revolution, historical political violence, media portrayals of crime, and what he believes Americans can learn from the unrest of the 1960s and 1970s.

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Are Republicans beginning to distance themselves from President Donald Trump as the 2026 midterm elections approach?

On this episode of It’s a Numbers Game with Ryan Girdusky, Ryan examines what he sees as a late Republican pivot away from Trump as GOP candidates confront voter concerns over the Iran war, rising costs, data centers and the president’s political standing. He looks at Republican Senate and House candidates who have broken with Trump on key issues and explains what the polling could mean for competitive races across the country.

Ryan also digs into the enormous amounts of campaign money pouring into Texas and competitive House races, including the Senate contest involving Ken Paxton and James Talarico, and explains why Republicans are spending heavily to defend territory that previously leaned strongly Republican.

Plus, Ryan takes aim at Nikole Hannah-Jones’ reflections on her daughter’s education, examining her decision to enroll her daughter in a struggling New York City public school and what Ryan believes the story reveals about education policy, school performance and parental responsibility.

Finally, Ryan answers listener questions about Tulsi Gabbard and 2028, possible live midterm election-night coverage, the ideal podcast length, and his disagreements with Clay Travis and Buck Sexton.

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Are Democrats really headed for a massive 2026 midterm election wave, or are the polls overstating the political environment?

Ryan Girdusky sits down with Quantus Insights founder and lead pollster Jason Corley for a deep dive into the latest 2026 election polling, the generic congressional ballot, and some of the biggest Senate and governor races across the country.

Corley discusses polling showing a sizable Democratic advantage nationally while explaining why response bias, turnout models and the composition of the electorate could change what the political landscape ultimately looks like in November.

They break down Susan Collins and the Maine Senate race, Minnesota, Katie Hobbs and the Arizona governor's race, and the Georgia Senate contest, along with what current polling is showing about Black, Hispanic and young voters. Corley says his polling shows Hispanic voters moving back toward Democrats compared with 2024, while voters ages 18–29 are showing a substantial shift to the left.

Plus, Jason explains how professional political polling actually works, why high-quality polls can cost thousands of dollars, how voter files and online panels are used, and why polling response rates make accurate election surveys increasingly difficult.

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The 2026 midterm elections are approaching, and Ryan Girdusky breaks down the latest polling to examine where Republicans are showing potential bright spots despite Democrats holding a sizable advantage in national generic-ballot polling.

Ryan digs into Senate, gubernatorial and congressional polling in Minnesota, Maine, New Hampshire, Oregon, New York, Alaska, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Texas, examining why individual races can diverge sharply from the national political environment. He also looks at what current polling says is motivating Democratic and Republican voters heading into November.

Plus, Ryan examines the latest economic warning signs after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a 3.75%–4.00% target range, its first increase since 2023, as inflation remains elevated. He discusses how dramatically the cost of food, vehicles, rent, insurance and other everyday expenses has changed—and why affordability could remain a major concern for voters.

Ryan also discusses demographic tensions in Los Angeles and closes the show with Ask Me Anything, answering listener questions about rural voters, Texas campaign spending and Utah politics.

EMAIL RYAN

See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.