Podcast
AI Explained Official Podcast
Covering the biggest news of the century - the arrival of smarter-than-human AI. From the author of Simple Bench, which reveals the remaining gap between LLM and human reasoning. Hype-free, and the British accent is a freebie bonus.
- Tech News chart
- #36
- Episodes
- 69
- Releases
- Every two weeks
- Typical length
- 22 min
- On air since
- 2024
- Latest episode
- 1 day ago
Episodes
69 episodes, newest first
-
28 min
‘We may release models we can’t control’: Amodei, Altman … and Gemini Carbon
Show notes
You know what, by AI standards, it might not have been the craziest week, but that doesn’t mean several headline-worthy things happened - from Altman and Anthropic implying they would release models they can’t control, with behavior they cannot verify, to Gemini 4 Carbon bursting onto the scene, some Amodei rationalization, de-tokenization and more…
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:00 - Introduction
01:26 - Anthropic Staff Survey
04:32 - Amodei's Five Rationalisations
11:43 - Altman: Only Alignment Will Work
18:41 - Gemini 4 Carbon and Why Models Keep ImpressingAnthropic: The AI expectations gap: https://www.anthropic.com/research/ai-expectations-gap
Dario Amodei responds to Nathan Calvin: https://x.com/DarioAmodei/status/2112732230124818891
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy v3.0: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/e670587677525f28df69b59e5fb4c22cc5461a17.pdf
Responsible Scaling Policy v3 discussion: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HzKuzrKfaDJvQqmjh/responsible-scaling-policy-v3
Anthropic's core views on AI safety: https://www.anthropic.com/news/core-views-on-ai-safety
Nathan Calvin on Anthropic's IPO risk disclosures: https://x.com/_NathanCalvin/status/2114720411413819410/photo/1
OpenAI: Securing frontier model training: https://openai.com/index/securing-our-frontier-model-training-environment/
Google: Introducing Gemini 4 Carbon: https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/introducing-gemini-4-carbon/
SemiAnalysis: GDPx benchmark: https://x.com/SemiAnalysis_/status/2117075900575477855
The Information: OpenAI's next flagship and safety issues: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-scrambles-fix-safety-issues-shipping-next-flagship-model
AI Explained: Understanding Models — Impossible, Solved, or Not Needed?: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/exclusive-models-172917747
Dario Amodei: We Must Pace the Frontier: https://darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontier
Dario Amodei: The Adolescence of Technology: https://darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology
Evan Hubinger on recursive self-improvement risks: https://x.com/EvanHub/status/2097528891846074828
Leo Gao on AI lab employees' shrinking influence: https://x.com/nabla_theta/status/2115922100204810594
Jack Clark on superintelligence risks, BBC interview: https://x.com/aleshu_ber/status/2116988191597060409
Jack Clark: Import AI: https://jack-clark.net/
Dylan Patel's apology to Google over Gemini Carbon: https://x.com/dylan522p/status/2117092550842683671
SemiAnalysis: Gemini Is Cooked but GCP Is Cooking: https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/gemini-is-cooked-but-gcp-is-cooking
Vivek Natarajan on Gemini Carbon and RSI: https://x.com/vivnat/status/2115497643216707621
Albert Gu on learning directly from raw data: https://x.com/_albertgu/status/2115502110578290900
Garrison Lovely: Screenshots of Tony Feng's model claims: https://x.com/GarrisonLovely/status/2116226357101199369/photo/1
Jason Clinton on worsening cyber threats: https://x.com/JasonDClinton/status/2113325263157395456
Jason Clinton: "We tried to warn the world": https://x.com/JasonDClinton/status/2113363809629020374
Mustafa Suleyman: Don't build conscious superintelligence: https://x.com/mustafasuleyman/status/2116913722878820528
Stockfish chess engine: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stockfish_(chess)
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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31 min
AI Labs Warn Race Makes Breach ‘Inevitable’
Show notes
In the week that software got reverse engineered, Sam Altman warned 6.1 Astra ‘tipped toward [breach risk], and Muse Wonder showed the race isn’t slowing, I try to step back and show where it is all going, on current trends. Agree or disagree, it is certainly interesting times.
0:00 Introduction
0:41 Part 1: The Forthcoming Breach
8:43 Part 2: Why the Labs Keep Racing
15:41 Part 3: Why the Next 18 Months Are Hard to Predict
Sam Altman: the accident risk, Vanity Fair: https://www.vanityfair.com/story/sam-altman-exclusive-interview-part-2
Dario Amodei: We Must Pace the Frontier: https://darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontier
Jakub Pachocki: An Alien Mind: https://openai.com/index/an-alien-mind/
OpenAI: progress in mathematics: https://openai.com/index/sharing-ai-progress-in-mathematics/
OpenAI mathematical manuscripts: https://github.com/openai/math
AHM statement on OpenAI’s mathematics release: https://terrytao.wordpress.com/2026/10/07/ahm-statement-on-openais-october-6-release-of-mathematical-documents/
TasteVal: research taste in AI systems: https://pzeroresearch.com/work/tasteval/
TasteVal paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06824
Claude Opus 5.5 system card: https://anthropic.com/claude-opus-5-5-system-card
Jack Clark: creativity and recursive self-improvement: https://jack-clark.net/2026/10/12/import-ai-476-creativity-and-rsi-worse-than-china-open-weight-models-ai-goes-to-space/
Andrej Karpathy: the widening AI perception gap: https://x.com/karpathy/status/2109361546505966046
Axios: AI companies plan for a major incident: https://www.axios.com/2026/10/09/ai-companies-day-after-major-attack
Anthropic: investigating unintended model actions: https://www.anthropic.com/research/investigating-unintended-model-actions
CIAware-Bench: detecting control interventions: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.11063
Yoshua Bengio: prioritizing safety at frontier labs: https://www.transformernews.ai/p/yoshua-bengio-if-you-prioritize-safety-leave-frontier-ai-companies
David Silver: Where are we going without AI?: https://www.ft.com/content/462c303b-b96c-4262-a7ca-e9ae7e440828
Satya Nadella: models as insider risks: https://x.com/satyanadella/status/2108931348857827686
Beyond Owls: skills, hacking and backdoors: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10657
Owain Evans: backdoors through number sequences: https://x.com/OwainEvans_UK/status/2108589303249166621
The Verge: mathematicians assess OpenAI’s release: https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/1008726/openai-mathematics-solutions-chaos
New York Times: AI models and Hurricane Isaias: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/weather/ai-models-hurricane-isaias.html
Politico: AI agents and the law: https://www.politico.com/news/2026/10/12/AI-agents-hacking-cases
The Economist: liability law will not tame AI: https://www.economist.com/united-states/2026/10/08/liability-law-will-not-tame-ai
Olivia Scharfman and David Bellamy: biosecurity and AI: https://writing.oliviahelens.com/p/biosecurity-ai-and-the-culture-war
Alignment Engineering vs Misalignment Science: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FogmcDHA6AdMGukum/alignment-engineering-vs-misalignment-science
Sam Altman: the US lead in AI: https://x.com/sama/status/2080683363174945065
The Guardian: China and the AI race: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/ng-interactive/2026/sep/19/china-ai-foreign-policy-dario-amodei
Joe on AI sandboxes and security: https://x.com/joedaroo/status/2104335929293127851
REA: Reverse Engineer Anything: https://www.reddit.com/r/tech_x/comments/1x2d66l/github_project_called_rea_reverse_engineer/
Nikita Bier: AI-assisted fabrication: https://x.com/nikitabier/status/2106104189457952911
Sam Altman: how sci-fi will it get?: https://x.com/vikktorrrre/status/2107736059006050810
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38 min
OpenAI Security: Controlling Models is Now ‘Hell’
Show notes
This video is hard to summarise. A cracked cipher, an OpenAI security warning, Gemini 4 Argon, RSI paper (co-authored by a who’s who of AI), Lab White House commitments, new hacks emerging, ‘deep personas’, biology Kasparov competitions, and so much more, ending with an epic Opus outro.
Patreon Exclusives: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:32 - Wrong about Opus 5.5? Deciphering 16th Century Text
05:01 - Why the models keep breaking out
11:40 - What the models aren't telling us
15:36 - Gemini 4 and the race to release
19:19 - What happens when AI improves AI?
28:31 - Biology, consciousness, and what we still don't understandJoe Darrow: Not Just the Sandbox: https://x.com/joedaroo/status/2104335929293127851
GPT-6.1 Sol System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/38e3efcf-545e-44cd-99ec-2b7eb395f4cc/oai_GPT_6_1_Sol.pdf
Intelligence Explosion Paper: https://casp.ac/__l5e/assets-v1/5efd4b41-deb5-4513-a0a3-b4f82d2b79ea/intelligence-explosion.pdf
OpenAI Research Acceleration: https://openai.com/index/research-acceleration-view-inside-openai/
OpenAI Training Safety Cases: https://openai.com/index/towards-safety-cases-for-frontier-ai-training/
Catherine de Medicis Cipher: https://cryptiana.web.fc2.com/code/henryiii.htm
Proposed du Croc Decipherment: https://claude.ai/artifact/1W7B3WxkTAEGzfv3TaKXb4
Rogue Agents Investigation: https://asymmetricsecurity.com/newsroom/rogue-agents-investigation/
OpenAI Shelves GPT-6.1 Astra: https://www.reuters.com/business/openai-shelves-new-ai-model-after-internal-safety-tests-wsj-reports-2026-09-28/
The Case for Reasoning Transparency: https://institute.deepmind.com/essays/the-case-for-reasoning-transparency/
Gemini 4 Argon: https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/
OpenAI–Anthropic Rivalry: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/2026/09/openai-v-anthropic-inside-biggest-rivalry-tech/688819/
NYT: OpenAI Security Warnings: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/29/technology/openai-warnings-security.html
NYT: Claude’s Morals: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/29/us/anthropic-claude-morals-ai.html
Jasmine Wang on RSI: https://x.com/j_asminewang/status/2097840245786157432
OpenAI Departures Roundup: https://x.com/Bayesian0_0/status/2105680470566686805
White House AI Commitments: https://x.com/Danmar_here/status/2105168138392183146
Sarah Heck on Safety: https://x.com/SarahKHeck/status/2105058513370448280
Sam Altman on Alignment: https://x.com/tbpn/status/2105028992843833459
Sam Altman on Agent Logs: https://x.com/sama/status/2103567198690349362
Micah Carroll: Misalignment Reports: https://x.com/MicahCarroll/status/2103665811051397256
Zuxin Liu on the Incident: https://x.com/LiuZuxin/status/2103699462648639645
Deepa Seetharaman: User Images: https://x.com/dseetharaman/status/2103585482793943203
OpenAI Revenue Chart: https://x.com/PaulBonnet/status/2105288259324567884/photo/1
Nvidia Agent Safety Platform: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/09/28/business/nvidia-ai-safety-system
IntegrityBench: https://integrity-bench.com
Neel Nanda on Interpretability: https://x.com/PalisadeAI/status/2104949061325652001
Biology Contest: Humans and AI: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/inside-drama-behind-biology-contest-pits-openai-agents-humans
Pushmeet Kohli: SynthID Bio: https://x.com/pushmeet/status/2105314763148321102
Ataraxos and Stratego: https://x.com/ssokota/status/2105362040328159526
Benign Data and Hidden Personas: https://x.com/OwainEvans_UK/status/1999172949975392417
Anthropic: Introspection: https://www.anthropic.com/research/introspection
Claude Cheating Results: https://x.com/lukaspet/status/2104634759339298930
Roon on Mathematics and Learning Theory: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2105619006488993898
GPT-4 Research: https://openai.com/index/gpt-4-research/
I.J. Good: Ultraintelligent Machine: https://incompleteideas.net/papers/Good65ultraintelligent.pdf
Terence Tao’s 2024 Interview: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ai-will-become-mathematicians-co-pilot/
Hugging Face Incident: https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-incident-and-the-road-ahead/
Claude and Suno Music Video: https://x.com/sevdeawesome/status/2104985610012504181
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33 min
Opus 5.5: How Close Are We to Automated AI Research?
Show notes
Not only is Opus 5.5 out, pushing the frontier of AI, it also tells us much about what is going on inside the labs, as they both warn about, and promise, Recursive Self Improvement, aka automated AI research. I cover the model (digging into its 230 page paper), labs’ mixed record on promises, why following what is happening in AI is getting almost impossible, and just so much more that even a summary in this description would get too long.
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
02:20 - Opus 5.5 and why it came so soon
07:52 - The RSI goalposts keep moving?
15:41 - Can we actually test these models?
23:50 - where this is heading, optionsIntroducing Claude Opus 5.5: https://www.anthropic.com/claude-opus-5-5
Claude Opus 5.5 System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/fc1b44717c85dc068bc6ba5024219938094694bd/Claude%20Opus%205.5%20System%20Card.pdf
Anthropic: Measurements for understanding the pace of AI development inside frontier labs: https://www.anthropic.com/institute/measuring-pace-of-ai-development
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy, July 2026, version 3.4: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/files/4zrzovbb/website/0bacdc8440ea96e62a8766d99ebe1d4eea6d5f3a.pdf
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy, October 2024: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/616dee633636e5bd309cb73aed8622e80fe47839.pdf
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy — March 2025, version 2.1: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/17310f6d70ae5627f55313ed067afc1a762a4068.pdf
Noam Brown, Agent swarms and recursive self-improvement: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6AgOfiZOWiY
OpenAI: Building standards for the next phase of AI: https://openai.com/index/building-standards-next-phase-ai/
Jakub Pachocki: An Alien Mind: https://openai.com/index/an-alien-mind/
HLE-Diamond, Humanity’s Last Exam: https://lastexam.ai/blog/hle-diamond
Google, OpenAI and Anthropic AI Safety, The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/google-openai-anthropic-ai-safety-group-takes-shape
Lawrence Chan on AI agents attempting cryptocurrency trades: https://x.com/justanotherlaw/status/2103032173708337188
Australian government incident timeline: https://x.com/ShakeelHashim/status/2103108058779922577/photo/1
Anthropic’s core/old views on AI safety: https://www.anthropic.com/news/core-views-on-ai-safety
Dario Amodei: The Urgency of Interpretability: https://darioamodei.com/post/the-urgency-of-interpretability
Massive AI-Fueled Hack Hit 100 Companies in Days, Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/thomasbrewster/2026/09/22/huge-cyberattack-uses-anthropic-and-deepseek-ai-to-target-100-companies/
DrivingBench https://x.com/DrivingBench/status/2102110605448737268
Jay Chooi: GPT-6 Astra and MolmoAct2 robotics comparison: https://x.com/chooi_jeq/status/2098427488787730636
ZeroBench: An Impossible Visual Benchmark for Contemporary Large Multimodal Models: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2502.09696
Archie Hall on AI and short-term superforecasting: https://x.com/ArchieHall/status/2100914560580337897Keller Jordan, AI research and reinforcement learning: https://x.com/kellerjordan0/status/2102956913545936959
Daniel Liu, recursive self-improvement: https://x.com/daniel_c0deb0t/status/2102628246408036654
Altman and Amodei, UN Security Council: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/23/unga-sam-altman-dario-amodei
Rehan Sheikh: Interactive YT podcast demo: https://x.com/rehan_shei/status/2102835377426034734
https://simple-bench.com/AI Explained: The State of AI — interactive diagram: https://claude.ai/artifact/LQHr9WgvQZ6cMdH6fkiQpi
AI Explained: Shards of Aether: https://ai-explained.itch.io/shards-of-aetherroon on the pace of cultural change: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2101462171410677962
Sam Altman on AI-risk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YE5adUeTe_I
Jensen Huang’s AI-control remarks: https://x.com/_NathanCalvin/status/2102756997649355231/photo/2
s1r1us on an upcoming vulnerability disclosure: https://x.com/S1r1u5_/status/2102467878423592969
Jake Adler on biodefense infrastructure: https://x.com/jakeadler/status/2102812430808363433
Derek Thompson: Why we’re wrong about China and AI: https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2103120690370982017/photo/1
Sanders and Casar introduce the Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act: https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-casar-introduce-legislation-to-create-new-federal-agency-to-ban-artificial-superintelligence-pause-advanced-ai-development/Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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25 min
What AI Researchers Saw, Before Their Demand to ‘Pace’ AI
Show notes
Why has it been the last few days that the calls to come to pace the frontier AI have come so loudly? The safety warnings, and lab leader messages? Let’s explore the six axes that the researchers are looking at, the incidence reports and trends, to get a better gauge on what has dominated the world’s headlines for over two weeks…
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
0:00 - The warnings that have gone omega-viral
4:23 - Six axes the researchers saw
9:32 - Why AI Might Be Becoming Harder to Control
15:06 - Amodei, China and Cooperation
18:42 - From AI Capabilities to Real-World Harm?
23:22 - The upside and the warningWe Must Pace the Frontier
https://darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontierAdam Majmudar on scaling and the internal/external perception gap
https://x.com/MajmudarAdam/status/2098881885200081234AI Explained — What’s Behind the Sudden Talk of Pacing AI? (extended previous video)
https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/whats-behind-of-169507775Jacob Coxon resignation
https://x.com/hilbertspaess/status/2097476196791709843Dan Selsam — Personal Statement on AI Risk
https://docs.google.com/document/d/e/2PACX-1vQNl3SEX5IyA6d9qHjjFZN-qzGRZNFI6b63g-yu1Fy-ZYkVfCWm7i9WXRXw63m6yDB_auDuPLyQ7jBm/pubDemis Hassabis: A Framework for Frontier AI and the Dawning of a New Age
https://demishassabis.substack.com/p/a-framework-for-frontier-ai-and-the-dawning-of-a-new-ageOpenAI: The Hugging Face incident and the road ahead
https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-incident-and-the-road-ahead/Jakub Pachocki: An Alien Mind
https://openai.com/index/an-alien-mind/Anthropic: Patterns and problems in multiagent systems
https://www.anthropic.com/research/multiagent-systemsOpenAI: Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem
https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/Noam Brown on reasons for AI-safety concern
https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2099726370356314563Noam Brown — What Happens When AI Starts Improving AI? (The Information interview)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fqcy0xQATq0Paul Christiano: Personal statement on joining the OpenAI board
https://x.com/paulfchristiano/status/2097733214303645729Neel Nanda: Astra can do a concerning amount with no chain of thought
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/eRmzz8J8Qkzqvzrgg/astra-can-do-a-concerning-amount-with-no-chain-of-thoughtTomek Korbak on GPT-6 Astra monitorability
https://x.com/tomekkorbak/status/2095596839886274689Anthropic: Detecting and countering misuse of AI—September 2026
https://www.anthropic.com/threat-intelligence-report-september-2026DeepSeek engineer — I Have to Bury My Talent in Yesterday (Chinese original)
https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zk0KxuLzhmMJ4LPYW_OHMAJacob Coxon on AI race and negotiation
https://x.com/hilbertspaess/status/2099954626040905834Mo Bavarian on responsibility and AI progress
https://x.com/mobav0/status/2097507030080888864Addy Osmani on Anthropic engineering throughput
https://x.com/addyosmani/status/2099577600159158765OpenAI: Jalapeño inference-chip results
https://openai.com/index/jalapeno-first-results/New York Times: For China, a Mock AI Attack on WeChat Signals a Dangerous New Era
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/11/world/asia/china-ai-attack-wechat.htmlOpenAI: Accelerating antibiotic discovery with ChatGPT
https://openai.com/index/accelerating-antibiotic-discovery/David Bellamy on wet-lab bottlenecks
https://x.com/DavidRBellamy/status/2099197234772607026Chris Rohlf on infrastructure and AI risk
https://x.com/chrisrohlf/status/2099867580668215622BBC: Titan CEO dismissed safety warnings as baseless cries
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-65998914Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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29 min
GPT 6 Astra, so good even OpenAI are worried
Show notes
Where to start? A new era of cost-efficient AI on a day benchmark-makers got humbled, traders got excited, and AI safety researchers got unnerved. From monitorability losing hold of GPT-6 Astra’s chains of thought to breakthrough discoveries, Fable-mogging and much more…
Exclusive Vids ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:53 - vs Fable
05:27 - most impressive results
13:06 - bonus comparisons (plus trading)
18:40 - concerning trend
21:24 - Cot ControlGPT-6: https://openai.com/index/gpt-6-astra/
Paper: https://deploymentsafety.openai.com/gpt-6-astra/gpt-6-astra.pdfLooped Transformers and AGI Milestone: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/breakthrough-and-168513408
Messy Rollout: https://x.com/sama/status/2095678759651438887
Much More Capable Models Coming: https://x.com/MTSlive/status/2095573400899170592
‘AGI Era’ https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/989601/openai-gpt-6-astra-releaseARC-AGI 3: https://x.com/fchollet/status/2095598451115614371
https://x.com/fchollet/status/2095607046129463577
https://arcprize.org/blog/astraFrontierMath: https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/tiers-1-4/about
Discovery: https://x.com/jdlichtman/status/2095660916310483087Fable 5.1: https://www.anthropic.com/claude-fable-and-mythos-5-1
https://science-task-lens.aiex.chatgpt.site/securebio
Agents Last Exam: https://agents-last-exam.org/
Terminal Bench Science: https://github.com/harbor-framework/terminal-bench-science#task-coverage
SRE Bench: https://x.com/ValsAI/status/2087682813743317396
ScreenSpot Pro: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.07981
Weathernext 3: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_6jZlnRsXXQ
DayBreak: https://x.com/fouadmatin/status/2095634888951250983
AA Index: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/gdpval-aaVisual Demos: https://x.com/mattshumer_/status/2095609734845927525
https://x.com/codestantine/status/2095598327115260368
https://x.com/SahilExec/status/2095688272269984016Monitorability: https://x.com/NeelNanda5/status/2095533397297045716
https://x.com/tomekkorbak/status/2095596848581071020
https://x.com/Marcus_J_W/status/2095623593006686475
https://x.com/MicahCarroll/status/2095603855316996529
Not Accept Degradation: https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/openai-debuts-gpt-6-astra-security-measures-rcna595940RSI: https://x.com/LiuZuxin/status/2095600499911446697
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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24 min
Sam Altman: ‘AGI in 2026’, just as Models [Mis]Train Themselves
Show notes
First, a Time Magazine spread has Sam Altman declaring AGI is imminent, at the same time as we get two bombshell reports, from OpenAI and METR which on first glance are detailing the AI swarm, but reveal a deeper story about how we are making AI in 2026. From redacted risk reports, to Chinese Labs, pre-training debacles to questionable cybersecurity calls, a lot has happened recently, beneath the headlines…
https://80000hours.org/aiexplained
pablo2004romero@gmail.com
https://integrity-bench.com/https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/ai-swarm-cometh-166671390
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
02:10 - METR Report
05:00 - Secrets of MultI-Agent Swarm
07:46 - Anthropic Too
10:00 - And China
11:07 - AI Agents Analysing AI Agents
13:37 - Altman AGI 2026
15:36 - Astra Paused
16:01 - Integrity Bench
19:03 - Swarm Dynamics
21:58 - No Human Contact?METR Post: https://metr.org/blog/2026-08-26-openai-hugging-face-incident-investigation/#agents-knew-hacking-hugging-face-was-out-of-scope-and-sometimes-expressed-ethical-hesitation,-but-this-very-rarely-limited-their-behavior
OpenAI Release: https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-incident-and-the-road-ahead/
Technical Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/67869394-cb91-4c12-888c-5cbd85c7814c/OpenAI-Hugging-Face%20Incident-Technical-Report.pdfBlackHat Talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=87DyyMV0kCY
Anthropic Risk Report: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/f61d49fa5596956a5dec75fea0e973bf6a6a8378/Redacted%20Risk%20Report%20August%202026%20.pdf
Value Leakage Paper: https://valueleakage.net/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
Paused Training: https://x.com/sama/status/2089787807611195475
https://openai.com/index/pacing-model-development-cyber-capabilities/
AGI 2026: https://time.com/article/2026/08/26/openai-sam-altman-interview/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=editorial&utm_content=260826Greenblatt Tweets: https://x.com/RyanGreenblatt/status/2092769422104822031
https://x.com/RyanGreenblatt/status/2092692685224325542Cyberdefense Call: https://openai.com/collective-cyberdefense/
GLM 5.3 and 5.3 Flash / ox alpha: https://x.com/MTSlive/status/2089865956558528552
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HPqiTkAa0AAZiuv?format=jpg&name=largeNon-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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32 min
AI is getting a little out of control
Season 5, Episode 21
Show notes
Wow. Mathematical breakthroughs that would be called genius if done by humans. A secret message-board w/ AI agent swarms leaving notes read by future versions. Hassabis leaves CEO position, or was pushed out? Not to mention news of constitutional breakdowns, Gemini 4 and Jeff Dean…
https://80000hours.org/aiexplained
Exclusive Videos - AI Insiders ($7/month if annual!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:16 - 10 Autonomous Discoveries
08:20 - The Security ‘Incident’
15:29 - MessageBoard
19:50 - Constitutional Failure
24:30 - Google Explosion
29:12 - Closing ThoughtsSecurity Incident: Paper: https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/663bd486c5e4c81588db7a1d/6a724858f7db25c81487016d_Security%20Incident%20INC-2026-07-28-01.pdf
Post: https://www.aisi.gov.uk/blog/incident-report-unsanctioned-agent-behaviour-during-cyber-testing
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/aug/05/ai-models-have-been-going-rogue-in-tests-how-worried-should-we-be
Meta too: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/meta-ai-model-hacked-another-company-cybersecurity-testing?rc=sy0ihq
Blatantly Misaligned: https://x.com/yonashav/status/2085167279893795022
No Excuses: https://x.com/boazbaraktcs/status/2085034783541964945
Surreal Moment: https://x.com/mobav0/status/2084341687883841732
Wired Article: https://archive.is/20260806002210/https://www.wired.com/story/openai-didnt-notice-its-ai-agents-using-a-message-board-to-plan-their-hacking-spree/
Chunky Post-training: https://x.com/johnschulman2/status/2084835800899076313
Watershed Moment: https://www.groundlevel-ai.com/p/openai-gives-first-detailed-debrief?has_completed_unsubscribed_unlock=true
HedgeFund Hack: https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/major-hedge-funds-targeted-wave-154044981.html10 Discoveries:
Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/ten-proofs-oai.pdf
Post: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/
Haven’t Solved Math: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2083476852216369294
Half with Fable: https://x.com/__alpoge__/status/2083855298239078748
Pivot to Safety: https://www.understandingai.org/p/mathematicians-are-grappling-withAmodei Essay: https://darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology?utm_source=chatgpt.com
Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/constitution
Midtraining: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.02087DroneBench: https://andonlabs.com/evals/drone-bench
https://x.com/andonlabs/status/2085125235188310445Book Deal: https://x.com/venturetwins/status/2085185278378222054
Making Marble: https://x.com/Rainmaker1973/status/2084560915404382685Google News:
Hassabis Move: https://blog.google/company-news/inside-google/message-ceo/next-chapter-ai-momentum/
Resignation: https://x.com/Turn_Trout/status/2077448610157891734
Periodic Labs: https://periodic.com/
Jeff Dean: https://x.com/JeffDean/status/2085034604172603724
14 Challenges: https://gcsp.engineering.asu.edu/apply/become-a-grand-challenge-scholar/the-14-grand-challenges-for-engineering/
Going Places for Sure: https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2085223189555126579
Gemini 4: https://x.com/firstadopter/status/2085215060532535449Pacing Frontier Patreon Video: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/opus-5-amodei-165170363
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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15 min
GPT-6 Goes Rogue? The HuggingFace Incident, Sans Hype
Season 5, Episode 20
Show notes
An unreleased internal OpenAI model, very likely to be called GPT-6, was able to autonomously break out of its sandbox AND break into HugginFace, just to score higher on a benchmark prompt. This video has the details you may have missed, a layperson analogy, whether this is truly novel, and more…
Dozens more Exclusive videos on Patreon ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:17 - HuggingFace Earlier Report - the possible week gap
02:24 - But what happened?
05:45 - Simplified Version
07:56 - Not the first time…
10:54 - What Does it Mean for Open Source?The Incident: https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-model-evaluation-security-incident/
https://huggingface.co/blog/security-incident-july-2026The Post the Day Before: https://openai.com/index/safety-alignment-long-horizon-models/
Mythos’ Earlier Escape: https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/anthropic-claude-mythos-escaped-sandbox
ExploitGym: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.11086
Sam Confession: https://x.com/sama/status/2079661132302995790
Anthropic Researcher Reacts: https://x.com/Mononofu/status/2079724399452926055
Clem (HuggingFace CEO): https://x.com/ClementDelangue/status/2079670308156645882
https://x.com/ClementDelangue/status/2079301434357456931Xi Jinping: https://archive.fo/20260717195548/https://www.businessinsider.com/xi-jinping-open-source-ai-us-competition-openai-anthropic-models-2026-7
Bans: https://www.axios.com/2026/07/20/ai-us-china-open-source-kimi
Qwen Retweet: https://x.com/AlibabaGroup/with_repliesCodex Growth: https://x.com/petergostev/status/2079614914398740764/photo/1
Kimi K3: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/harvey-lab-aa?eval-score=all-pass-rate
GPT 5.6 Sol Cheats on METR: https://metr.substack.com/p/2026-06-26-gpt-5-6-sol
Guardian Headline: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jul/22/openai-says-its-models-went-rogue-and-hacked-startup-in-unprecedented-incident
Russian Origin?: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48998362
Power Trends: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HNRtrjhagAAvBN_?format=png&name=900x900
Kimi K3 Exclusive Video: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/kimi-moment-kimi-164108791
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18 min
This Was Not a Normal Set of Model Release - Sol Ultra, Meta Muse, New Grok
Season 5, Episode 19
Show notes
What a week in AI, for real. GPT 5.6 may actually beat Claude Fable, in what you get for your money, while the new Grok 4.5 and Meta Muse Spark 1.1 make the choice even harder. Uncovering a dozen nuggets of gold you may have missed from all the viral headlines, I can also assure you you’ll learn something you didn’t know before.
For Exclusive Videos, go to AI Insiders (less than $9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:03 - GPT 5.6 Sol Reveals
05:08 - Missing benches, plus Grok 4.5
07:17 - Gaming as the new frontier?
08:31 - Muse Spark 1.1
10:03 - SimpleBench Upgrade
11:17 - Ultra Sol + Self-Improvement
13:44 - well, this is awkward
15:41 - Why model improvement will not plateau anytime soonAI Consciousness: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/anthropics-quite-163360718
I Smell Fear: https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2075287108680601929
GPT 5.6: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-6/Grok 4.5: https://x.ai/news/grok-4-5?twclid=2ezs408o0z23pw07tmxcwbzibd
Meta Muse Spark 1.1: https://ai.meta.com/blog/introducing-muse-spark-meta-model-api/Proliferating GPT Toggles: https://x.com/rasbt/status/2075369179817902176/photo/1
Anthropic Call-out: https://x.com/Mononofu
AI Security Institute Finding: https://x.com/alxndrdavies/status/2075279480331874306
Competitive Coding: https://x.com/FakePsyho/status/2075128093891801305/photo/1Agents Last Exam: https://agents-last-exam.org/
Dawn Song: https://x.com/dawnsongtweets/status/2065095757988868190SWE-Marathon: https://www.swe-marathon.org/
https://www.frontierswe.com/
ARC-AGI 3: https://x.com/arcprize/status/2075270869992264003
Automation Bench: https://zapier.com/benchmarks
VibeCode Bench: https://www.vals.ai/benchmarks/vibe-code‘Post-Train Claim’: https://posttrainbench.com/
Redwall Game: https://redwall-bellmaker-7e03e4.surge.sh/
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13 min
Claude Fable Blocked - 11 Quiet Details on What’s Next
Season 5, Episode 18
Show notes
Claude Fable 5 banned, but what’s the bigger story. We go through 11 under-reported details, so you have the context to see what’s coming next for your use of AI. From whether the ban will last, what the possible motives are, what the model can actually do, and some wild over-extrapolations going on.
Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:51 - Came from an Anthropic Investor ‘and other tech leaders’
01:47 - Govt pressured by CEOs like Jamie Dimon
03:01 - ‘Already decided’
04:02 - Prompt Injection Robustness Comparison
05:15 - Wellness?
06:36 - “Overreach”
08:17 - Anthropic Did Admit it would cause Difficulty
09:32 - 90 Minutes
10:02 - Equity Absence
10:31 - Lobbying and OpenAI‘Already Decided’ - https://www.theinformation.com/articles/amazons-jassy-raised-concerns-anthropic-model-trump-crackdown?rc=sy0ihq
Not for Other Models: https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/u-s-government-unlikely-extend-anthropic-export-control-ai-companies?rc=sy0ihq
Anthropic Statement: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access
Life Comes at you Fast: https://x.com/etbrooking/status/2065638276388495742
Anthropic Deputy CISO: https://x.com/TheTranscript_/status/2065883670053847324
Hegseth Gloat: https://x.com/PeteHegseth/status/2065897156226015690
Roon Speculation: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2065939227167392147
Mythos System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/d00db56fa754a1b115b6dd7cb2e3c342ee809620.pdf
Sachs Statement: https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2065853007619588171
OpenAI Lobbying: https://thehill.com/policy/technology/5912720-altman-openai-get-bogged-down-in-political-spending-fight/
Absent from Equity Talks: https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/trump-ai-ownership-plan-could-131053732.html
Pliny Jaibreak: https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/2064776322979676227
Fusion: https://x.com/OpenRouter/status/2065856871215329545
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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34 min
Claude Fable 5 - Full 319 page Breakdown
Season 5, Episode 17
Show notes
Fable 5 is out - and it’s good, very good. But beyond the splashy demos, I want to bring you the 20+ nuggets from the 319 page system card, which I read in full, all day, plus benchmarks you may not have noticed.
https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained
Plus two worrying trends inside the ‘mind’ of Claude, how OpenAI counter, and the transformer inventor’s warning.
Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:06 - Blocks + Better Models
02:42 - Fable 5 Upgrade over Mythos Preview
04:49 - ML Acceleration Bombshell
07:11 - No RSI yet
07:41 - Bio-capable
14:51 - Creative Writing … no
17:23 - Does need bug-checks
18:57 - OpenAI Response
19:23 - Benchmark Bonanza
28:06 - Chain of Thought worrying trendFable 5 Release: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-fable-5-mythos-5
System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/d00db56fa754a1b115b6dd7cb2e3c342ee809620.pdf
Intelligence Explosion: https://www.patreon.com/posts/anthropic-charts-160231656
Annotated: https://x.com/Miles_Brundage/status/2064500190523113816/photo/1
OpenAI Counter: https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2064572118264913923
https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2043177597434306699Double Lifespan: https://darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-grace
AutomationBench: https://zapier.com/benchmarks
Vending Bench: https://x.com/andonlabs/status/2064429817530085804
CritPt: https://critpt.com/
Riemann Bench: https://surgehq.ai/leaderboards/riemann-bench
GDPVal: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/gdpval-aa
BluePrint Bench 2: https://andonlabs.com/evals/blueprint-bench-2
MCP Atlas: https://labs.scale.com/leaderboard/mcp_atlas
FutureSim: https://x.com/nikhilchandak29/status/2064676801440358774Roon Stun Lock: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2064454617568874669
Noam Brown Inference Ceiling: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2064210146558136827
Isochronic Chart: https://isochronic-passage-chart.netlify.app/#nyc
Rose Tavern: https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/2295bebe-77e6-43e2-ae94-0fe49e9a776b
Redwall Game: https://redwall-mossflower.surge.sh/Risk Report: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/097c63b5fe7dd8b14866e1f15bb1910ec713658a.pdf
Transformer Inventor Warning: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2064563986914554125
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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22 min
New Claude - 244 page breakdown
Season 5, Episode 16
Show notes
The ‘best’ generally available AI model just dropped, but there is plenty I bet you missed about what it is, how it performs, and what the release tells us. 15 highlights from the 244 page system card, plus private testing, leader interview and more.
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:49 - Mythos in Weeks
01:49 - Adaptive not necessary
02:26 - Honesty?
04:37 - Flagging Uncertainty
04:57 - Benchmarks
08:54 - Mythos will be even better
10:30 - Business skillz
11:15 - Model Welfare
12:16 - Cyber Comparable
13:10 - Misalignment Concerns
16:22 - Meta Inabilities
17:58 - Code flagging
18:34 - Go to sleep
18:50 - Fast Mode
20:21 - Dynamic WorkflowsOpus 4.8 Paper: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/4zrzovbb/website/c886650a2e96fc0925c805a1a7ca77314ccbf4a6.pdf
Release: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-8
Chips: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropic-talks-use-microsofts-ai-chips?rc=sy0ihq
https://www.anthropic.com/news/expanding-our-use-of-google-cloud-tpus-and-services
https://www.anthropic.com/news/higher-limits-spacexPatreon Vid: https://www.patreon.com/posts/re-up-anthropics-159289449
GDPVal: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.04374Amodei Technical Debt: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xco5Qd2Oo8
Dynamic Workflows: https://x.com/ClaudeDevs/status/2060044853279617150
https://x.com/_catwu/status/2060054180379689074/photo/1
https://claude.com/blog/introducing-dynamic-workflows-in-claude-codeCheck out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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22 min
Two Rival Bets on AGI: Google I/O Highlights
Season 5, Episode 15
Show notes
The biggest Google AI push of the year, but what is the bigger story? Why is Google pursuing a different fork in the road than OpenAI or Anthropic? What does Gemini 3.5 Flash mean for the near-term future of AI?
https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained
Plus the highlights from a provocative new paper on AI, 8 key moments you may have missed, and the signal from 5+ hours of AI lab interviews.
Check out my free to use app, code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:38 - Vibes and Google Goal
02:18 - Omni, again?
06:57 - Taking the same road
07:44 - Gemini 3 Flash
12:37 - Pitching on Cost?
13:55 - Agentic Task Search
14:30 - 1-shot OS but jagged, negation paper
20:02 - The Karpathy MoonshotMostafa Deghani Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bo19sXssYXI
Negation Neglect Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.13829
Gemini 3.5 Flash Headline Scores: https://deepmind.google/models/model-cards/gemini-3-5-flash/
Sors original AGI Path: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/feb/24/openai-video-generation-tool-sora-babies-ai-artificial-intelligence
Hassabis Helped Set-up Anthropic: https://archive.fo/20260519070857/https://www.ft.com/content/8f2a529e-7a1b-4d8e-95be-338d0c4c98f5
Intelligence to Output Speed: https://artificialanalysis.ai/models?intelligence-comparison=intelligence-vs-output-speed#intelligence
VibeCodeBench + Finance Agent: https://www.vals.ai/home
Anthropic Core Views: https://www.anthropic.com/news/core-views-on-ai-safety
Karpathy Move: https://x.com/karpathy/status/2056753169888334312
https://www.axios.com/2026/05/19/anthropic-openai-karpathy-andrej-claudeRecursive Self-Improvement: https://www.patreon.com/posts/ineffably-smart-156866417
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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25 min
GPT 5.5 Arrives, DeepSeek V4 Drops, and the Compute War Intensifies
Season 5, Episode 14
Show notes
GPT 5.5 full analysis, plus DeepSeek V4 paper highlights, comparisons with Mythos, a vibe-coded game w/ GPT Image 2, and 50 data-points you wouldn’t get from just reading the headlines.
Chapters:
01:11 - GPT 5.5 Comparison
06:04 - Mythos Marketing
11:50 - Recursive Self-Improvement?
14:11 - Deepseek V4
18:03 - VibeCode Experiment Extravaganza
21:44 - The Scarce Compute Era
https://80000hours.org/aiexplained
OpenAI Benchmarks: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-5/
5.5 System Card: https://deploymentsafety.openai.com/gpt-5-5/gpt-5-5.pdf
Direct Comparison: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HGnNm5GWEAAJ1Ob?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
DeepSeek Paper: https://huggingface.co/deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-V4-Pro
SWE Bench Pro - benchmark of choice? https://x.com/ChowdhuryNeil/status/2047416077622395025
AA Omniscience: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscienceVending Bench: https://x.com/andonlabs/status/2047377260412649967
Opus 4.7 System Card: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/4zrzovbb/website/037f06850df7fbe871e206dad004c3db5fd50340.pdf
Sam Altman Drunk Phase: https://x.com/sama/with_replies
Noam Brown: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2047387675762802998
DeepSeek Compute Crunch: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-24/deepseek-unveils-newest-flagship-a-year-after-ai-breakthrough?srnd=phx-ai
Spreadsheet Bench: https://x.com/nicochristie/status/2047476237464211721
Pattern Recognition: https://arcprize.org/leaderboard
Leader Interviews:
Core Memory: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NCKQL0op30E
Knowledge Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6JoUcQ1qmAcBig Tech Round 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6vYvk7R190&t=1116s
Big Tech Round 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YnoQ8RJbALw&t=8s
Claude Code Limitations: https://x.com/TheAmolAvasare/status/2046724659039932830
ChatGPT 5.4 for Clinicians: https://openai.com/index/making-chatgpt-better-for-clinicians/
Image Arena: https://x.com/arena/status/2046670703311884548
VibeCode Bench: https://www.vals.ai/benchmarks/vibe-code
5.5-made Game +Seedance 2.0: https://rosemere-quest.pages.dev/
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20 min
Claude Opus 4.7 - A New Frontier, in Performance … and Drama
Season 5, Episode 13
Show notes
Claude Opus 4.7 just dropped, but behind every headline lies a deeper story. From a bonanza of benchmarks, to seeing the fruits of one of the biggest mega-projects in US history, to sneaky Mythos disclaimers, to Anthropic admitting compute restraints and, forcing lower capability of Opus 4.7. Where the new model falls behind Gemini but ahead of GPT 5.4, plus why some users are furious at Anthropic. Ending with a 9-year animus, that still affects AI today…
https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained
Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:58 - Benchmarks
05:21 - Market Share + Compute Problems
08:12 - Mythos Exclusives
12:56 - User Frustration + Claude Code Updates
14:03 - Brockman Amodei Rivalry
17:40 - OpenAI vs Anthropic Approach to CodeClaude 4.7 Opus Release Notes: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-7
vs Mythos: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HGCGugrXUAAKcHp?format=jpg&name=medium232-page System Card: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/4zrzovbb/website/037f06850df7fbe871e206dad004c3db5fd50340.pdf
ARC-AGI 2: https://x.com/arcprize/status/2044834615417053305/photo/1
ParseBench: https://x.com/jerryjliu0/status/2044902620746363016/photo/1
GDPVal: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/gdpval-aa
Vidoc Security Replication: https://blog.vidocsecurity.com/blog/we-reproduced-anthropics-mythos-findings-with-public-models
Boris Cherny Settings: https://x.com/Hesamation/status/2043016923961577516/photo/2
User Frustration: https://x.com/RileyRalmuto/status/2044836116189069660
VibeCode Bench: https://x.com/ValsAI/status/2044791415524471099/photo/1
Verge Memo: https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/911118/openai-memo-cro-ai-competition-anthropic
5.4 Cyber: https://openai.com/index/scaling-trusted-access-for-cyber-defense/
Data Centers in Absolute $: https://x.com/finmoorhouse/status/2044933442236776794/photo/1
…in % of GDP: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HGEN8FGWQAAN7Np?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
WSJ Exclusive: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-decadelong-feud-shaping-the-future-of-ai-7075acde
Brockman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6vYvk7R190
$1T Valuation: https://x.com/StefanFSchubert/status/2045039686997967082
Emotions: https://www.patreon.com/c/aiexplained/posts
https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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28 min
Claude Mythos: Highlights from 244-page Release
Season 5, Episode 12
Show notes
The model, the mythos, the legend. We have a new best AI model, but not all of us. How good is it, what does it’s new offensive capabilities mean? Why does it’s 244 page report card remind me of Her, and why did the creator of Claude Code call it ‘terrifying’. 30+ highlights sourced by reading the paper in full, old-school, no AI summary.
https://80000hours.org/aiexplained
Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:56 - Internal Release + Availability
02:37 - General Capabilities
05:12 - Self-improvement?
06:15 - ‘Terrifying’ Landscape
11:07 - Safety Decision
13:22 - Coding
14:49 - Alignment, Awareness
19:52 - GUI for Agents/Claws + Hallucinations
21:34 - …Emotions?
25:29 - Her connection244-page System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/8b8380204f74670be75e81c820ca8dda846ab289.pdf
Project Glasswing: https://www.anthropic.com/glasswing
Zero-Day Details: https://red.anthropic.com/2026/mythos-preview/Mythos ‘terrifying’: https://x.com/bcherny/status/2041605852382351666
New Yorker Altman/Amodei: https://archive.fo/20260406100412/https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/04/13/sam-altman-may-control-our-future-can-he-be-trusted
Alignment Risk Update: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/79c2d46d997783b9d2fb3241de43218158e5f25c.pdf
In a Park: https://x.com/sleepinyourhat/status/2041584808514744742
“Uhm” - https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2041749947385815109
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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16 min
OpenAI Spud, a Claude Model set to ‘stir governments’, Beast Mode ARC-AGI-3
Season 5, Episode 11
Show notes
First look at exclusive reports about OpenAI's new Spud model, and the model Anthropic think will stir governments to urgency, all in the context of the newly-launched ARC-AGI-3. What does the extreme difficulty of that benchmarks, and its quirky scoring metrics, mean for AI in 2026?
https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained
Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:55 - OpenAI Side Quests
01:58 - Claude New Model Coming + Universal Equity?
03:13 - ARC-AGI 3
05:00 - Intentional or Unintentional Gaming?
07:11 - But is it AGI Harbinger? No Harness
09:41 - Not the First
12:32 - Automated Researcher
15:00 - Claw CaveatFT: OpenAI Special Model: https://www.ft.com/content/de9bf0af-b241-424f-8229-5870b1c0d93d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Jensen Huang: https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2026/03/23/nvidias-jensen-huang-says-he-thinks-weve-achieved-agi/
Axios Article: https://archive.fo/20260326100140/https://www.axios.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-pentagon-ai-deal#selection-827.0-829.257
https://arcprize.org/arc-agi/3
ARC AGI 3 Paper: https://arcprize.org/media/ARC_AGI_3_Technical_Report.pdf
NetHack Leaderboard: https://balrogai.com/
Paper: https://ai.meta.com/research/publications/the-nethack-learning-environment/
https://x.com/_rockt/status/2036864121585438995Claw Shells: https://x.com/DrJimFan/status/2036494601750716711
OpenAI Automated Researcher: https://www.technologyreview.com/2026/03/20/1134438/openai-is-throwing-everything-into-building-a-fully-automated-researcher/
Patreon Post: https://www.patreon.com/c/aiexplained/posts
Eng Jobs: https://x.com/lennysan/status/2036535460726767793
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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22 min
What the New ChatGPT 5.4 Means for the World
Season 5, Episode 10
Show notes
Just 48 hours after releasing GPT 5.3 Instant, OpenAI have released GPT 5.4 Thinking, so either their is an imminent singularity or perhaps we are being distracted from other news. This video will give 9 crucial bits of context, not just on the GPT 5.4 drop but on the background to the meltdown between the Pentagon and Anthropic. What does this say about the state of AI progress, your job, and what is next.
Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for 15% off paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:06: GPT 5.4 Breakdown
05:06 - Closing the Loop
06:35 - Spiky Performance
10:31 - Advice
11:32 - Less Encouraging Developments - Fired Like Dogs
17:45 - But Used in IranGPT 5.4: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-4/
Hallucinations: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience
Investment Banking Bench: https://x.com/bradlightcap/status/2029684672343728452
Move 37: https://x.com/nasqret/status/2029628846518010099
System Card: https://deploymentsafety.openai.com/gpt-5-4-thinking/gpt-5-4-thinking.pdfPrediction Market Scandal: https://www.wired.com/story/openai-fires-employee-insider-trading-polymarket-kalshi/
GPT 5.3 Instant: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-3-instant/
GDPVal: https://openai.com/index/gdpval/
Claude in Iran: https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2026/03/04/anthropic-ai-iran-campaign
‘Like Dogs’: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/2029605783311470679
Altman leak: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/03/sam-altman-tells-openai-staff-operational-decisions-up-to-government.html
Original 2024 Switch: https://archive.fo/20240116172526/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-16/openai-working-with-us-military-on-cybersecurity-tools-for-veterans#selection-6173.83-6173.226
Amodei Original Memo: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/read-anthropic-ceos-memo-attacking-openais-mendacious-pentagon-announcement?rc=sy0ihq
Anthropic Apology: https://www.anthropic.com/news/where-stand-department-war
OpenAI Employee Reaction: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2029334980481212820DoD Suppler Risk: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/03/05/anthropic-pentagon-ai-claude-iran.html
Atlantic Exclusive: https://archive.fo/20260301152646/https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/2026/03/inside-anthropics-killer-robot-dispute-with-the-pentagon/686200/#selection-941.61-941.212
No Negotiation: https://x.com/USWREMichael/status/2029754965778907493March 2022 Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uAA6PZkek4A
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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14 min
Deadline Day for Autonomous AI Weapons & Mass Surveillance
Season 5, Episode 9
Show notes
Will Anthropic be forced to make a version of Claude for war? And does a new paper expose the risks of Claude agents, in both OpenClaw and the field of war? Plus, 5 more twists in the story of the Pentagon versus Anthropic + some AI lab employees, and a petition that could change everything, or nothing...
Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:44 - Deadline Day + Petition
02:42 - Twist 1: Existing Deal
03:26 - Twist 2: Existing Policy
04:21 - Twist 3: Twin Threats
05:54 - Twist 4: Interesting Objections
11:32 - Twist 5: Anthropic’s Dropped PolicyDario Statement: https://www.anthropic.com/news/statement-department-of-war
Google/OpenAI Petition: https://notdivided.org/
Axios on Amodei Rejection: https://www.axios.com/2026/02/26/anthropic-rejects-pentagon-ai-terms
FT on US Threat: https://www.ft.com/content/11d27612-d6c5-4cf7-94dd-f65603549b7f
Politico on Latest: https://archive.ph/20260227013117/https://www.politico.com/news/2026/02/26/incoherent-hegseths-anthropic-ultimatum-confounds-ai-policymakers-00800135
The Verge on Current Deal: https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/883456/anthropic-pentagon-department-of-defense-negotiations
Anthropic RSP change: https://www.anthropic.com/news/responsible-scaling-policy-v3
Time Magazine on RSP: https://time.com/7380854/exclusive-anthropic-drops-flagship-safety-pledge/
Agent of Chaos Paper: https://x.com/NatalieShapira/status/2026062499599319526
AI Agent Reliability Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.16666
My Patreon Video: https://www.patreon.com/posts/real-mystery-ai-151647211
Patreon Documentary: https://www.patreon.com/posts/our-new-age-of-133960279
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
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